KO and the Left without a majority. Three seats are not enough to govern independently

31.8% of people declare voting for KO. respondents, for PiS – 24.5 percent, Confederation – 12.6 percent, and the Left – 8.5 percent. – according to the United Surveys survey for Wirtualna Polska published on Thursday. As the portal indicates, KO and the Left would win together about 228 seats, which is three too few to govern on their own.

The respondents were asked which parties they would vote for in the Sejm elections.

According to the results reported by the portal, 31.8% chose the Civic Coalition. respondentswhich means an increase of 1.3 percentage points compared to the mid-April survey.

Law and Justice came second, chosen by 24.5 percent. respondents (increase by 0.8 percentage points).

Confederation was in third place with a score of 12.6 percent, which means a drop of 1.6 points. percent She took fourth place Leftwhich was indicated by 8.5 percent. respondents (increase by 0.5 percentage points). She was fifth in line Confederation of the Polish Crown Grzegorz Braun with 6.8 percent. support (this means a decrease of 1.6 percentage points).

However, it was below the electoral threshold Polish People's Party with the support of 4.6 percent respondents, Razem Party with the support of 3.8 percent and Poland 2050 – with the support of 1.1 percent. respondents.

In turn, the group of undecided people amounted to 6.3 percent.

According to the portal's calculations, these results would mean in practice that the Civic Coalition would introduce 192 deputies to parliament, and Law and Justice 143. In turn, the Confederation would have 64 seats, the Left 36, and Grzegorz Braun's Confederation of the Crown of Poland – 25. “In such a balance of power, the Civic Coalition together with the Left would have 228 seats, which would mean no independent majority (…). However, it must be remembered that each survey is subject to statistical error – with a sample of 1,000 people it amounts to approximately 3 percentage points,” we read.

The United Surveys by IBRiS party poll for Wirtualna Polska was conducted on April 24-26, 2026, using the CATI & CAWI method, on a representative group of 1,000 adult Poles. (PAP)

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