According to the average of the most important national polls collected by RealClearPolitics on Sunday, March 22, the popularity of the American president fell to the lowest level in 14 months (during his second term in the White House).
On average, in the most important national polls, only 41.6 percent American voters support his way of holding office. As much as 56 percent is dissatisfied. For Trump's party, this may mean defeat in the upcoming elections, which will take place soon.
In the case of Joe Biden, support in 2024 was even lower and the level of dissatisfaction was slightly higher. As for the current US president, the escalating war with Iran is key to his current popularity.
Trump often tries to reassure public opinion by claiming that military operations against Tehran, carried out jointly with war partner Israel, are part of his “America First” program, which focuses on strengthening his own country. However, the effects of the war are becoming drastically felt for Republicans on the “home front.”
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Price shock at gas stations frustrates Americans
Gasoline prices at gas stations have increased by almost 30% in just a few weeks. Americans are also afraid of further increases in the prices of food and consumer goods.
The anxiety of voters in the United States is intensified by the fact that Trump hesitates between announcing a “limitation of military operations” and the escalation of the conflict after issuing a new ultimatum to Tehran. Meanwhile, midterm elections take place in the US in November.
The Pentagon's request, led by Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, to Congress for war funding in the amount of $200 billion. (PLN 745 billion), shocked even some Republicans. This is a sign that the war with Iran may last much longer than initially thought.
US Secretary of War Pete HegsethWin McNamee/Staff/Getty Images
In the US, support for a new war in the Middle East is weakening. According to a survey conducted by Emerson College, 47 percent American voters oppose military intervention, while only 40 percent supports her. The hard core of Trump supporters in the MAGA movement [“Make America Great Again”, “Uczynić Amerykę Znowu Wielką”] in 81 percent supports the war. However, even these voters support a quick declaration of “victory” over Tehran.
An earlier Quinnipiac University study found that 74 percent Americans are strongly opposed to sending ground forces. Skepticism is high even among voters who declare themselves supporters of the Republican Party. 52 percent of them are against this movement.
Another concern for Trump is Americans' concerns about the economy. In the Ipsos study, approximately 55 percent Trump voters express great concern about rising gasoline prices caused by the conflict.
These results may be surprising to public opinion researchers. In the case of previous US wars (Iraq, Afghanistan, Kosovo, etc.), a wave of patriotism initially led to a sharp increase in the president's popularity as part of the so-called the effect of uniting around the flag [poparcie dla przywódcy w obliczu zagrożenia]. In the case of the war with Iran in 2026, this effect has not occurred so far.
Trump's ultimatum for Iran
The situation in the Middle East may further deteriorate. On the night of Monday to Tuesday, March 24, the ultimatum given by the US president to Iran passes. He threatened that if the regime in Tehran does not stop blocking the Strait of Hormuz, the Americans will start destroying Iranian power plants.
“We are determined to respond to any threat,” a statement from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said. “If you hit electricity, we'll hit electricity.” Iran's statement indicates that the situation in the Middle East may soon escalate again.
I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.