Business

The labor market surprised again in December 2025. Wages are skyrocketing, but employment is down

Krzysztof Kolany2026-01-22 10:00Chief analyst of Bankier.pl

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2026-01-22 10:00

The December report from the Polish labor market greatly surprised economists. The sensationally high wage growth was accompanied by a further decline in employment in the corporate sector. Such data may remove the option of a February interest rate cut at the National Bank of Poland from the table.

Unexpected increase in the national average. Poles already earn almost PLN 10,000. But there's a problem with employment
Unexpected increase in the national average. Poles already earn almost PLN 10,000. But there's a problem with employment
photo: Aska Paplinska / / FORUM

The average salary in large non-financial enterprises in December 2025 was PLN 9,583.31 gross and was as much as 8.6% higher than last year. Economists' forecasts assumed an increase of 6.9%, so the result was much higher than the market consensus.

Bankier.pl based on the Central Statistical Office

December's (as well as November's) data question the downward trend in wage dynamics in Poland. The annual rate of wage growth has been decreasing since August 2022, but the last two months have seen an acceleration. This situation may definitively eliminate the chances of a February interest rate cut by the Monetary Policy Council. Let us recall that in June, wages in the corporate sector grew at an average rate of 9.0%. per year, which was due to pay rises in the mining industry. Only a year ago, the nominal wage dynamics in the enterprise sector reached single-digit values.

The acceleration of the nominal wage growth rate in the face of decreasing CPI inflation caused real wage growth to skyrocket. With December CPI inflation finally estimated by the Central Statistical Office at 2.4% real wage dynamics in the enterprise sector amounted to as much as 6.09% y/y. This was the highest result since August 2024. For comparison, throughout last year this value remained in the range of 2.65-4.85%, which was not a low result by historical standards.

Bankier.pl

Mines, fields, forests – that's where you earn the most money

And so, in December 2025, the highest earnings were in mining. After adding all bonuses, allowances and benefits, the average gross amount was PLN 21,430.22 – more than twice as much as the average for the entire enterprise sector. Second place was taken by forestry, with the addition of agriculture, hunting and fishing. It is worth adding, however, that in both of these sectors, December salaries were approximately half higher than the average for the entire 2025.

Average monthly gross wages in the enterprise sector by type of activity PKD 2007
DETAILS 12 2025 01-12 2025
in zlotys 11 2025=100 12 2024=100 in zlotys 01-12 2024=100
Mining and quarrying 21430.22 112.8 103.1 13896.27 103.8
Agriculture, forestry, hunting and fishing 18451.53 187.2 136.9 11408.21 111.4
Production and supply of electricity, gas, steam and hot water 15286.37 111.9 113.0 12823.02 106.4
Information and communication 14966.74 103.7 107.4 14695.91 108.7
Professional, scientific and technical activities 12779.08 107.8 108.1 11934.79 108.0
Activities related to culture, entertainment and recreation 10519.63 126.5 110.9 8453.94 110.2
Real estate market services 10388.15 115.0 107.4 8919.03 107.5
ENTERPRISE SECTOR 9583.31 105.6 108.6 8934.98 108.1
Transport and storage 9485.88 105.4 113.8 8685.20 109.5
Water supply: sewage and waste management; 9348.74 115.6 110.8 8038.61 109.7
Construction 8991.51 103.1 107.5 8563.68 107.4
Industrial processing 8809.11 103.0 108.8 8456.61 108.4
Trade; repair of motor vehicles 8378.14 104.1 106.1 8111.32 106.8
Other service activities 7370.75 107.6 113.7 6871.87 107.7
Administration and support activities 7354.45 102.7 109.0 7164.62 109.2
Accommodation and catering 6659.29 102.1 106.4 6575.57 108.2

The podium was completed by employees of the energy, gas and heating sectors with an average salary of PLN 15,286.37. Right behind the box was the “information and communication” section, where an average of just under PLN 15,000 was earned. As usual, at the end of this table are hotel, catering and administration employees.

How does the Central Statistical Office calculate the national average and who earns that much anyway?

The average salary in large non-financial companies is only one of the indicators regarding wages in the Polish economy. However, it does not include data, among others: in public administration, education, health care and micro-enterprises. Which means that this statistic applies to less than 40 percent. working.

Secondly, this value is given in gross terms, which the vast majority of employees have never seen in person. The employee receives a net salary, i.e. after deducting approximately 20% of “contributions” to the Social Insurance Institution, 9% of the National Health Fund contribution and at least 12% of the labor tax advance (PIT). The difference between gross and net salary is approximately 27%.

In addition, every month – but with a delay of almost half a year – we receive data on the median and decile distribution of wages covering the national economy sector, including the public sector and smaller companies. However, these data are published with a six-month delay. However, we know that the median wage for July 2025 was PLN 7,246.64 gross, or PLN 5,270.35 net. For comparison, let us add that today's category – i.e. the average salary in the enterprise sector – in July 2025 amounted to PLN 8,905.63 gross and was 22.9% more than the median. That's how we know that most employees receive wages lower than average.

Employment down again

The Central Statistical Office also reported that in December 2025, average employment in the enterprise sector amounted to 6,410.3 thousand. full-time positions. It was therefore 3.5 thousand lower than in November, when an increase of 9.3 thousand was recorded. full-time positions. Average employment decreased by 0.7 percent year-on-year. y/y, which was a result consistent with the market consensus.

Bankier.pl based on the Central Statistical Office

Apart from the January “jumps” in employment statistics (resulting from the annual change in the sample of surveyed enterprises), employment in the corporate sector has decreased almost continuously since the beginning of 2023. However, in 2025, a total of 43.4 thousand people died. full-time positions.

Source:

Ashley Davis

I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.

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