According to the survey results, the Civic Coalition with a result of 30.8 percent. could count on 189 seats in the Sejm. However, this is not enough to form a government on its own. Compared to the previous survey conducted in mid-October, KO recorded an increase in support by 1 percentage point.
Among KO's current coalition partners, only the Left exceeds the electoral threshold, obtaining 6.9 percent. votes (decrease by 0.4 percentage points), which gives it 26 seats.
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On Law and Justice took second place with a score of 26.7 percent, which means a decrease of 2.2 percentage points. compared to the previous study. This result would translate into 161 seats in the Sejm.
However, even in the case of a potential coalition with Confederation, which received 11.9 percent in the poll. support (decrease by 1 percentage point) and 60 seatsPiS would still not gain the majority needed to rule independently. Therefore, Jarosław Kaczyński's party would also have to seek support from Confederation of the Crown of Poland, Grzegorz Braun's group, which achieved a result of 6.4 percent in the survey. (an increase of 0.2 percentage points), which translates into 24 seats.
According to the study, the remaining parties would have no chance of crossing the electoral threshold.
The Polish People's Party could count on 4.8 percent. votes (increase by 0.9 percentage points), Razem Party 3.4 percent. (an increase of 1 percentage point), and Szymon Hołownia's Poland 2050 at 1.5%. (decrease by 0.1 percentage point).
Read also: The results of the OGB survey are surprising. This is what the joint list of the government coalition would look like
It is worth noting that 6.6 percent respondents have not yet decided who they will vote for — this percentage increased by 0.6 percentage points. compared to the previous study.
The survey was conducted by United Surveys in cooperation with IBRiS and commissioned by Wirtualna Polska on October 24-26, 2025. The survey was conducted using the CATI/CAWI method on a representative sample of 1,000 respondents.
