Although the end of the year is traditionally slower, in December, sales of new apartments decreased by only 0.9%. – according to the Apartment Price Barometer of the website Tabofert.pl. Average prices remained virtually unchangedand throughout 2025 they increased nominally by 1.6%.
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With inflation at 2.7%. however, this means a real decline in the value of the apartmentń. The exceptions were Tricity, Poznań and Bydgoszcz, where price increases exceeded inflation.
Apartment prices in large cities: developers change price lists less often
The average price per square meter in the 10 largest cities (Table of Offers TOP 10) increased symbolically in December – by 0.03%, to PLN 14,084. At the same time, the scale of changes in developers' price lists has decreased significantly.
In September 2025, i.e. in the month of entry into force of the Price Transparency Act, updates covered 27.95 percent. offers. In October it was 20.3 percent, in November 17.6 percent, and in December only 12.8 percent. This is a signal that pricing strategies have been established and the new regulation no longer influences current decisions.
On local markets, December changes were cosmetic. Increases were recorded, among others: in Warsaw (plus 0.5%) and Tricity (plus 0.3%), and declines in Wrocław (minus 1.0%), the Silesian agglomeration (minus 0.3%) and Lublin (minus 0.2%).
Price change on an annual basis
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latkaofert.pl
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Real housing prices are falling. Big differences between cities
On an annual basis, prices rose nominally, but after taking into account inflation they fell in real terms. The strongest increases were recorded in Tricity (plus 7.9%), Poznań (plus 5.2%) and Bydgoszcz (plus 2.9%). In turn, Wrocław (minus 1.2%) and Kraków (minus 0.7%) were below the mark.
— In Krakow, the effect of a high base from previous years and strong competition between projects is visible. The new offer appears more often in less prestigious locations, which lowers the average price per square meter for the entire city, and in the Tricity it was the other way around – the new offer appeared to a greater extent in the higher segment – comments Ewa Palus, chief analyst of the website Tabofert.pl.
Share of those put on sale
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latkaofert.pl
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However, a stable average price per square meter does not mean a lack of traffic. In December, prices increased by 6.9%. premises, and decreased by 5.9%. The average increase was plus 4.17 percent, while the average reduction was as much as minus 6.2 percent.
— If apartments sell well, the developer gradually increases prices. But if the valuation is too high and discounts do not work, the apartment must be significantly discounted. Price transparency enforces such a policy, emphasizes Robert Chojnacki, vice-president of the website Tabofert.pl.
What's next for the housing market in 2026?
Despite the drop in interest rates there was no sudden price increasebut forecasts of a market collapse did not come true either. High supply effectively blocks price increases, and demand focuses on the best offers.
— I expect stable prices in the first half of 2026 and selective increases in the following months – Robert Chojnacki forecasts.
Katarzyna Tworska, managing director of Rednet24, also draws attention to the importance of the location and quality of the project.
— Apartments in locations such as Mokotów or Ursynów in Warsaw, especially well-designed ones, sell and will sell more expensively and faster, he notes.
