CIA legend: Iranian extremists can press on terrorist activities in the world
Is the Islamic regime in Iran a dangerous and wounded predator?
He is a dangerous and wounded animal, but he is no longer a predator. It is an animal that is currently on the defensive.
Can Iran consider Israel's allies as easy goals?
In IRGC (corps of the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution, which is an armed arm aimed at defending the ideology of the Iranian revolution of 1979) are extremists who call for some kind of actions in the gray zone, through Iranian deputies. For example, IRGC achieved great success against the American forces in Iraq. For decades, they were very successful in supporting the Bashar al-Assad regime. They were very successful in exerting pressure in the Middle East. For decades, Iran exerted pressure on Israel without having a common border with him.
They managed to achieve all this at a distance, through intermediaries. At some point, they were very dangerous from the offensive point of view. They call for certain actions. Let's not forget that in the last decade IRGC he stood behind all the conspiracies against Israeli tourists, Israeli officials abroad, Americans, American officials, former officials, trying to take revenge on American officials for the Iranian general's assassination [Kasema] Soleimani made by American forces. So there is a great danger that Iranian extremists will press on taking some terrorist actions somewhere in the world, except the Middle East.
Will Iran give up the nuclear program?
I don't think so. The fact that they were attacked by Israel and then by the United States shows that without nuclear weapons they are an easy target. The most important question is: how will they do it? The nuclear program will not end without changing the regime.
Speaking of changing the regime, is it time to change it in Iran?
A long time ago. For a long time. That is, religious autocracy, theocracy led this country to ruin. They have a growing population of young people. A huge demographic problem is approaching. People need jobs and want a good life. Persians are well educated. They are intelligent people. They know what is happening in the rest of the world.
Even on the internet controlled by the Iranian government, they see what is happening in the world. So there is a huge pressure on the regime and its repressive methods. People there have been boldly organized in the past many times. I'm sure they will do it again at some point.
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How would the new regime in Iran change the Middle East geopolitics?
If the extremists from IRGC manage to take power, we can deal with very dangerous and aggressive Iran. Even if he is weak and is not able to dictate the conditions of his neighbors, he will be dangerous. And this would cause even more conflicts in the region and would certainly force Israel to hit again, and probably also the United States that would stand on his side.
But if there is a regime that says: we give up nuclear weapons, we recognize Israel, it will change everything. We would see how the history of the Middle East literally would be rewritten in a positive way overnight.
To what extent would the regime in Iran influence Russia? Could she cause a serious change in the war in Ukraine?
It would certainly affect. It would be great if he took power in Tehran, which would give up support for Russia, right? One of the things we have always felt was that the Iranian nation, the Persian people, is not informed about how much damage caused by Ukraine provided from their country drones and rockets. Persians do not mind Ukrainians. I do not think that they at all support their government in the war against Ukraine. Changing the regime could therefore completely undermine this support and contribute to the slightly greater isolation of Russia.
