On whom five years ago the current voters of the presidential candidates voted. A lot has changed [SONDAŻ]
The study was conducted on May 19-20, 2025 by the CAWI method at a sample of 1011 adult Poles aged 18-80, of which 871 took part in the first round of elections for the President of the Republic of Poland.
As you can see in the graphic below, significant reshuffles occurred and many people changed political views.
Karol Nawrocki has the most determined electorate, in which as many as 90.4 voters voted for Andrzej Duda five years ago. Nawrocki dragged only 2 percent from Trzaskowski voters of the opponent five years ago. In the case of Rafał Trzaskowski, interestingly only 75.5 percent Current voters voted for him five years ago. As much as 12.6 percent They were Duda's voters, and 4.3 percent – Hołownia from previous presidential elections.
In the case of Sławomir Mentzen, only 20.2 percent voters voted five years ago for Krzysztof Bosak, and as much as 48 percent. They are the then voters of Andrzej Duda. The group is also the largest group who did not vote or vote for another candidate five years ago and it was as much as 17.9 percent. Mentzen's current voters. This is in accordance with the research that indicates the candidate's attraction of the youngest electorate group.
Adrian Zandberg (19 percent) and Grzegorz Braun (16.6 percent) have a lot of participation of non -voting five years ago among his voters, so the youngest can be said that they choose “after the extremes” of the political scene. Up to 37.5 percent Brauna voters were Duda voters, and interestingly as much as 16.7 percent. – Former Trzaskowski voters. Grzegorz Braun also gained many former voters of Krzysztof Bosak (22.9 percent currently voting for Braun).
Former Trzaskowski (33.3 percent), Biedronia (16.7 percent) voted for Adrian Zandberg (16.7 percent) and the above -mentioned / time mentioned above who they voted five years ago.
Szymon Hołownia only 32.6 percent Current voters had those who voted for him in 2020, so it can be said that the “new effect” did not translate into stability of support and this was mainly transferred to: Magdalena Biejat (15.6 percent of her voters voted five years ago for a tribute) and Adrian Zandberg (14.3 percent).
The former electorate of Krzysztof Bosak stood in the views, which spread between Sławomir Mentzen and Grzegorz Braun, with a predominance for the first one. In the case of Mentzen it was 20.2 percent. voting for him, i.e. 3 percentage points As a result of 20.2 percent, and in the case of Brauna 22.9 percent voters, i.e. added 1.5 percentage points to a result of 6.3 percent
“Who did you vote for in the second round of the presidential election in 2020?” – It sounded the second of the questions of the survey. There are no surprises in the electorates of Trzaskowski and Nawrocki: in the first one as much as 83.5 percent. He voted for him in the second round five years ago, AU second – as much as 93.4 percent. In the group of voters Sławomir Mentzen, former voters Andrzej Duda from the second round (70.5 percent) clearly predominate. The structure of Grzegorz Braun's current voters may surprise, as much as 22.9 percent. His current voters voted for Trzaskowski in the second round of elections five years ago.
