The prices of sweets are not falling, although cocoa is cheaper than ever. There are several reasons
Poles' Christmas spending in 2025 is expected to be lower than last year – this is according to data from the Polish Bank Association, quoted by “Fakt”. This is the effect of, among others, cheaper fuels, as well as lower prices of some food products. An example is carp, which currently costs PLN 117 per 2 kg, which is over PLN 20 less than a year ago.
See also: Record prices just before Christmas. The next wave of price increases is just coming
However, one category of products has definitely become more expensive: chocolate and all cocoa-based products. We are currently facing a surprising situation with these products.
As Bloomberg notes, after last year's historic increases, cocoa prices are heading for a record decline this year. However, it does not seem that the prices of your favorite sweets, tablets or Christmas chocolate Santa Clauses will go down anytime soon.
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As “Fakt” notes, the price increase is clearly visible on store shelves. The average price of milk chocolate increased from PLN 5 to PLN 7.50 per 100 g.
The bitter taste of sweets. Cocoa prices are falling, chocolate prices are rising
According to Bloomberg calculations, cocoa prices reached a record of almost PLN 13,000 last year. dollars per tonne. Currently, a ton of this raw material costs PLN 6,000. hole.
The further increase in chocolate prices is due to the fact that cocoa futures almost tripled last year, which hit producers and resulted in increases in chocolate prices. Moreover, they use grain purchased during the highest prices. Additionally, they have made changes to the recipes that cannot be easily undone.
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Yields in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana – countries responsible for more than half of global cocoa production – have been decimated by disease and extreme weather. Primarily, cocoa swollen shoot virus (CSSV) and fungal problems such as black rot significantly drive up cocoa prices
See also: Poles' Christmas expenses. More on gifts and food, less on fuel and services
Latin America is also gaining more and more importance in global cocoa production. According to information from the Strefa Biznesu portal, the development of crops in this region may mean that global cocoa production will meet the demand for this raw material as early as 2026.
According to Bloomberg, the situation on the cocoa market is gradually stabilizing. According to specialist forecasts, if the current trend continues, chocolate prices may fall by Easter 2026.
