Two reasons why Trump's plan for the Gaza Strip can go even without Hamas
Then he shared his predictions that the fight between Israel and Palestinian Hamas fighters would last from three to six months. It was the longest period I heard about, and it turned out to be insufficiently pessimistic.
Officials, analysts and other Middle East observers say that Trump's plan has a good chance of success. And regardless of whether Hamas connects to it or not.
These moods are by no means euphoric; After all, this is the Middle East, and two key players, Israel's prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Hamas militia, have motivation to continue the fight. Trump warned Hamas that if he did not agree to [zaproponowane] Conditions, he will meet “hell”. After the Friday proposal of Hamas regarding the release of the hostages, Trump hinted that he was open to conversations, and directed his demands to Israel, writing in social media: “Israel must immediately stop bombing the Gaza Strip so that we could safely and quickly release hostages!”
The content and structure of the 20-point plan even give the skeptics of Trump's peaceful efforts to optimism. Palestinians in the Gaza Strip, as well as experienced political decision -makers, are particularly desperate that the immediate suspension of weapons that the proposal contains is a fact.
– This agreement would at least stop the killing of civilians and save the other Israeli hostages, which would make me happy – says Tom Malinowski, former deputy secretary of human rights in Obama's administration. – when it comes to the end of the war, which is supported by both Hamas and [premier Izraela Binjamin] Netanyahu, it also has such potential, if Trump is aware that both sides will be motivated to make them [postanowienia porozumienia] undermine “.
One of the reasons why some Middle East experts are positive about the proposal is Trump's personal involvement in this matter.
Yes, the US president clearly made it clear that he wants to receive a Nobel Peace Prize. In addition, he will chair the “Council of Peace”, which will supervise the implementation of most of the plan. Although it will probably leave technical issues to others, performing such a high function is an injection for the ego that may lead Trump to focus on ensuring the implementation of the proposal.
Some present and former American officials suggested that Trump or his family members have been able to obtain financial benefits in connection with the future reconstruction of the Gaza Strip can additionally lead him to put pressure on both sides.
According to the proposal, “Trump's economic development plan aimed at rebuilding and reviving the Gaza Strip will be developed by a team of experts who have helped create some of the flowering, modern cities in the Middle East.” The son -in -law of Trump, Jared Kushner, who has billions of dollars in investments related to this region, is one of the architects of peace proposals. The plan also provides for the creation of a “special economic zone” in the Gaza Strip.
Jared Kushner, negotiator of the Middle East and the son -in -law of President Trump, during a conversation with Israeli diplomats after a joint press conference in the Banquet Hall of the White House in Washington, DC, USA, 29 September 2025.Will Oliver / Pool / PAP
“Considering the potential of this contract, Trump can literally invest in it,” he told me, a former Biden administration clerk.
It may seem strange that such people enjoy the perspective of what can be considered a government corruption. However, taking into account the number of victims in the Gaza Strip, which significantly exceeded 65,000, not to mention the suffering of Israeli hostages and families of the fallen Israeli soldiers, some present and former American officials are willing to use Trump's transaction approach to a world that loves contracts.
Or, as he put it, a former Biden administration clerk: “Whatever he is interested in.”
The plan indicates that Trump has withdrawn from some of his most radical ideas regarding the resolution of the conflict. Earlier, he called for the transmission of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip and transforming this territory into an American resort – this idea caused a storm among Palestinians, many foreign officials and human rights activists. Trump's latest peace proposal assumes that Palestinians can remain and help the Gaza Zone in economic development.
Another aspect of the plan that causes hope is its international character. Trump is known for “independent” solutions based on the “America First” principle. However, this plan guarantees that other countries – apart from the United States and the parties to the conflict – will have their participation in its implementation and effects. This may make it difficult (though not preventing) Netanyahu and Hamas fighters oppose his conditions.
The proposal provides for the creation of technocratic administration in the future for the Gaza Zone, which will include Palestinians and experts from other countries. This authority would be supervised by the “Peace Council”, whose chairman would be Trump, but it would also include other heads of state. The former prime minister of Great Britain Tony Blair is also to play a key role.
The United States also undertake to cooperate with other countries, including Arab countries, in order to create “international stabilization forces”, which will be arranged in the territories of gases cleaned by Israel of Hamas. Indonesia has already offered its troops. “Regional Partners” – mainly Arab countries – will ensure that Hamas fulfills its obligations arising from proposals. Similar international peace teams have been proposed in various long -term Biden administration plans.
– This means that more people will participate in this and we will see new people, not just traditional players – one of the Arab diplomats told me, pointing to the interest of such countries as Pakistan and Türkiye.
Continued article under video material
Here is a reality that can be expected:
This 20-point proposal is at best a framework for a future agreement or a set of agreements. Many of its elements must interact with each other, which is a difficult challenge. At every stage, politicians, fighters, and maybe even one or two financers will motivate to slow down the implementation of the plan or destroy it. It all comes down to [jego] implementation.
Arab rule is already frustrated by changes introduced to the document by Netanyahu, which they think can act like poison. Many officials and analysts approach the proposal with reserve, because it does not directly define the way to the creation of the Palestinian state.
However, this proposal also allows Hamas in a difficult situation, while giving its members a chance to survive, which can encourage this group to accept its conditions.
Let us remember that two years ago the Israelis, lost after Hamas killing 1200 people on their territory, talked about killing all the fighters of this group and the destruction of “evil”. It was never real. Although Israel seriously weakened Hamas and deprived him of most leaders, this group recruited thousands of new members.
The proposal offers amnesty to Hamas members if they lay down their weapons and “commit themselves to peaceful coexistence.” Fighters who want to leave will be able to go exile. As planned, the group will not play any role in gauze.
Trump increased pressure, warning Hamas that it would allow Israel to continue the group attacks if it disagrees quickly to the set.
There is also a chance to establish a partial suspension of weapons.
The following fragment seems to me particularly striking:
In the event of a delay or rejection of this proposal by HAMAS, the above actions, including an intensified assistance operation, will continue in areas free from terrorism transferred by [izraelskie siły obronne] [międzynarodowym siłom stabilizacyjnym].
This means that Israel can fight Hamas in some parts of the Gaza Strip, leaving other areas for reconstruction, and some elements of the general plan may begin to be implemented, perhaps waiting for the final capitulation of Hamas. And if Palestinians see that some areas of the Gaza Strip become safe shelters, this can additionally encourage them to turn against Hamas.
No one other than Antony Blinken, the secretary of state in Biden's administration, said in Tuesday's podcast that this clause is a “reason for optimism.”
“Considering the monstrosity of the last two years, there is at least a chance that the inhabitants of the Gaza Zone will mobilize this,” said Blinken, who also stated that Trump's plan was similar to the plan developed by President Joe Biden.
In order for the individual elements of this plan to work, further negotiations on details will be needed. And the Trump administration is not known for their attention to detail.
The administration did not include the majority of the State Department in this initiative; The Middle East office was not even sent to the Office of the Middle East, as several American officials informed me. This means that experts – people who can develop, for example, how to include the so -called Independent observers – they have not yet been asked for help.
I asked the White House about this, and the high -ranking Trump administration clerk replied that there are reasons why this information is closely guarded, including to prevent leaks.
“All appropriate people will be turned on in a timely manner,” he said. “Currently, the goal is peace in the Middle East,” he added.
These types of ambiguities are nothing unusual or impossible to overcome international negotiations at an early stage, especially in the Middle East, where, as one of the analysts put it, “you never get the answer” yes “. You get the answer” yes, but … “.
Thanks to Trump's plan, we have at least something relatively specific, to which we can refer to, even if it may require many corrections (or the new premiere of Israel, as another American official told me).
Ultimately, “If the plan fails now, it will be the basis for work in the future,” said Arab diplomat.
A plan, which – if agreed, implemented and maintained – can end the current war. It is also a limited attempt to end a broader conflict between Israelis and Palestinians.
So although I am not asking people to give time frames anymore, in which the conflict between Israel and Hamas may end, I have nothing against putting some hope for this.
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