Andrej Babisz returns to politics. Will he become another Viktor Orban? Five key applications from the Czech Republic elections
After converted 99.9 percent Ano's votes had a definite advantage with a result of 35 percent, significantly ahead of the center -right coalition ruling the Prime Minister Petr Fiali, which obtained 23 percent. votes. The result is the highest percentage result that one party has ever achieved in the Czech parliamentary elections. However, Babisz's path to the prime minister's function will not be simple.
Politico presents five key conclusions from these breakthrough choices.
Well, he failed to obtain a majority in a 200-person chamber, which means that Babisz will need the support of parliament to create a government. It can be a long -lasting process because all the main parties have ruled out cooperation with a right -wing populist.
– Negotiations will not be easy and will not be fast either. I really think that creating a government can take a lot of time. It can take up to several months – says in an interview with Politico Petr Kaniok, a political scientist from Masaryk University in Brno.
On Saturday evening Babisz said that he intends to create a single-party minority government supported by the far-right party Freedom and Direct Democracy (SPD) and the right-wing-capulistian party of the driver themselves. – We will conduct talks with SPD and drivers and strive to create a single -party government led by the move – he announced.
2. Babisz will not have to give way to anti -EU extremists too much
Babisz is not Viktor Orban – unless he finds under pressure of anti -EU extremists, analysts say. In this context, their poor results in these elections are significant.
Extremely leftist coalition Staczilo! (Enough!) Which calls to leave both NATO and the EU And he is in favor of strengthening relations with Russia, it did not exceed the 5 % threshold necessary to enter parliament, despite good results in the surveys during the campaign. Eurosceptic SPD obtained only 8 percent, much less than expected 13 %, which reduces her influence in possible cooperation with Babisz.
The leader of Movement Anoj Andrej Babisz arrives at the party's headquarters after closing the polling stations, Prague, October 4, 2025.Tomas Tkacik/Sopa Images/Lightrocket via Getty Images/Getty Images
– Babisz could create his own government without having to conclude any agreements that would be anti -European – notes an expert on political marketing Anna Shavit, who worked at the Babisza campaign.
Kaniok from the University of Masaryka called the results of extremists “good news”. – The most radical groups – namely Staczilo! and SPD – obtained less votes than expected. … from the point of view of the future of the Czech foreign policy – as well as European policy – This is of course good news – indicates.
– I think that thanks to the fact that Babisz will not have to rely on them when creating a government, each created government may not be so radical in his position – notes the political scientist.
3. Wild card at the president's sleeve
Czech President Petr Pavel, who has the freedom to appoint the prime minister, will meet on Sunday with all the parties that entered the parliament. Traditionally, the president entrusts the creation of the government to the leader of the winning party. After creating a government with a majority of at least 101 seats, the president appoints the prime minister and ministers, but the government still has to obtain a vote of trust.
Pavel announced earlier that he did not appoint ministers who are in favor of the Czech Republic with NATO or the EU. He also said that he consults with lawyers on blocking Babisz due to a conflict of interest resulting from his great agricultural Empire Agrofert.
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The first potential situation seems to be much less likely, because SPD has achieved poor results, and the extremely left -wing one! She did not get 5 percent. support necessary to enter parliament. Both parties are anti -native and eurosceptic.
However, the conflict of interests related to AGROFERT still remains current. Czech law prohibits officials to have or control enterprises, which could cause a conflict with their governmental function. This does not mean that ministers cannot have enterprises, but they must submit a public interest over their own.
In the television debate before the election Babisz said that “he would solve a conflict of interest”, but did not specify how.
This possibility is small, but Pavel it still has the constitutional possibility of refusing to appoint Babisz Prime Minister, if he decides that the proposed solution is insufficient.
4. Support for Ukraine may decrease
Babisz conducted an election campaign under the slogan of reducing support for Ukraine and priority treatment of the Czech Republic. Earlier he said that he did not support Ukraine membership in the EU. He is known for his criticism of Prague's initiative regarding the supply of ammunition – in which millions of missiles were delivered to Kiev – and promised to cancel it, suggesting that NATO should take this initiative.
According to Kaniok, ano is not “opening on the side of Russia … But it is much more inclined to Russia, and much less towards Ukraine“.
European officials observe Babisz with anxiety, fearing that he can become another destructive figure in the EU, next to the Prime Minister of Hungary Viktor Orban and the Prime Minister of Slovakia Robert Fico. Babisz denies these allegations.
– Of course, we are definitely pro -European and pronatowski – said Babisz at a press conference on Saturday after the results were announced. – The EU has 27 members. Ukraine is not an EU member. Of course, we want to talk about Europe, European citizens, about energy prices, and a migration packet – he added.
Babisz and Orban is a co -founder of the extreme right -wing Patriots faction for Europe in the European Parliament. Several of its members, including Orban and Jordan Bardella from France, congratulated Babisz to victory.
“The truth has won! Andrej Babisz won the Czech parliamentary elections, gaining a definite advantage,” wrote Orban in a post on X. “This is a great step for the Czech Republic and good news for Europe. Congratulations, Andrej!”
5. Babisz is still accused of alleged fraud
The leader of the move is currently awaiting the verdict of the District Court in Prague in the case of this, Whether He cheated the EU for the amount of EUR 2 million (8 million PLN 512 thousand)so that AGROFERT can receive subsidies for medium -sized enterprises.
The case depends on whether the “Stork's Nest” farm has been separated from AGROFERT to look like a smaller, independent enterprise. Unless new evidence appears, the court is obliged to make a decision on the basis of the decision of the Supreme Court in Prague, which in June annulled the previous judgment acquitting Babisza from the alleged acts.
It is likely that the lower chamber of the parliament will have to vote on depriving parliamentary immunity.
