Russia versus NATO? ISW: Russia can prepare for the conflict

Reports regarding Russia building a strategic reserve based on recruits indicate that the Kremlin is not interested in the end of the war in Ukraine and may prepare for a conflict with NATO – said the American Analytical Center Institute of Studies on War (ISW).

According to our source, from the beginning of 2025 to September 15, the Russian Ministry of Defense signed contracts with around 292 thousand. recruits, i.e. on average it was about 31.6 thousand. people per month – we read in the ISW report, published on Sunday. According to the informant, some new soldiers join the strategic reserve, which Russia has been creating since the beginning of July. It was not specified, however, how many people go there, and how much they participate in activities on the front line in Ukraine.

“The Russian military command could recognize that Russia would be able to create strategic reserves when in the summer of 2025 its losses began to decrease” – the analysts explained. According to the Ukrainian side, Russia lost from about 32 thousand. up to 48 thousand soldiers per month in the period from January to July 2025, which means that the number of victims was higher than the average monthly number of recruits.

Russia creates Strategic reserves?

“Reports that Russia creates strategic reserves indicate that the Kremlin is not interested in ending the war with Ukraine, but remains determined to achieve war goals on the battlefield and can prepare for a conflict with NATO,” experts alerted. In their opinion, this may also mean that the Russian side “plans to increase offensive activities in Ukraine in a short -term and medium -term perspective instead of ending the war.”

In addition, Moscow can expand its army “As part of wider preparations for a possible conflict between Russia and NATO in the future – Especially considering the fact that Russia intensifies its patriotic and military programs addressed to young people, whose goal is to recruit young people to the army in the coming years. “

The Kremlin tests, tests, testing …

Referring to the violations of the airspace of NATO countries, including Poland, through the Russian forces, which has occurred in recent weeks, ISW assessed that “Russia conducts an aggressive campaign to test the air defense of the alliance.” As added, the goal may also be “gathering useful intelligence information, which Russia can then use in a potential future conflict with NATO.” Russia was particularly emphasized by NATO air defense possibilities on the Baltic Sea.

The report also mentioned that Russia is still developing drone technology. The information provided by the Russian so -called A military blogger, associated with the Kremlin, claiming that Russian forces were developed by fiber -tone drones, giving real -time observation. Such solutions can increase the range of unmanned aerial vehicles on the front line four times.

As ISW explains, Russian fiber -controlled drones are resistant to radio -electronic means. They are supported by drones that are signal transmitters, which allow you to protect other unmanned aerial vehicles against Ukrainian radio -electronic combat and increase strokes.

Germany: During the NATO war with Russia, the daily number of wounded would be 1 thousand.

German armed forces provide for treatment of 1 thous. wounded soldiers a day, if there were a large -scale conflict between Russia and NATO – the Reuters agency said on Monday. As reminded, the alliance assessed that Moscow could be ready for such an attack by 2029.

Although the Kremlin rejects the accusations that he is preparing for the war against NATO, the last violations of the airspace of the Alliance countries have increased the fears of escalation – the agency noted.

The European troops intensified preparations for a potential conflict with Moscow after Russia's full -size attack on Ukraine in 2022. They also adapt medical training to new challenges.

German chief doctor Ralf Hoffmann said in an interview with Reuters that in a realistic scenario one should take into account a thousand wounded a day.

“The nature of the war in Ukraine has changed radically,” Hoffmann admitted, explaining that there was a transition from gunshot to wounds as a result of explosions and burns caused by drones and self -leading ammunition.

MZB/ MAD/ RTT/ OS/ KBM/