According to OECD, the global economy is heading In the direction of the weakest growth period since the crisis caused by Covid-19 pandemic. This, as the analysts of the organization explain, is to be caused by the trade war of US President Donald Trump, which weakens the dynamics of leading economies, including the USA.
As a result, OECD reduced the forecasts of global production and most leading G20 economies, warning that Agreements on the relief of trade barriers will be “key” to revive investments and avoid higher prices.
Global economic growth downwards
OECD informs in its latest forecast that The global increase will be 2.9 percent. In 2025 and 2026, it is worth emphasizing here that from 2020 this indicator has not dropped below 3 percent.
Forecasts for the world's largest economies have affected large changes. OECD forecasts that Growth in the US will slow down particularly rapidly, falling from 2.8 percent. Last year to just 1.6 percent in 2025 and 1.5 percent in 2026, while a wave of higher inflation will prevent the federal reserve from lowering interest rates this year, OECD informed.
The forecast for the USA means a significant reduction in relation to March analyzes, i.e. before the US President Donald Trump's announcement “Liberation Day” on April 2. Already at that time, OECD warned against a “significant burden” resulting from duties and related uncertainty about politics.
Since then, Trump has partly lowered some duties, but the increase in the average effective customs rate in the US is still “unprecedented”, from 2.5 percent. up to over 15 percent The highest than the Second World War.
The second economy of the world also scored the forecast down. According to the latest analysis, the increase in China's GDP will slow down from 5 percent. Last year to 4.7 percent in 2025 and 4.3 percent in 2026
The increase will weaken in the euro area. With a new analysis, the increase will be only 1 percent. This year and 1.2 percent in 2026
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The economy of Japan will increase by only 0.7 percent, respectively. and 0.4 percent This and next year.
The Economy of Great Britain, as OECD predicts, will cope like Europe. Forecasts indicate an increase in GDP by 1.3 percent. This year and 1 percent in 2026, which is a reduction in expected feet, respectively, 1.4 and 1.2 percent. in March.
