The polls conducted after the first election in the presidential elections 2025 continue the trend from the first round, gathering the score between the presidential finalists, Nicușor Dan and George Simion. The two candidates are quoted even with the same percent. Thus, on Sunday, the balance will be inclined in favor of a candidate by the voters who have not expressed their option at the first poll.
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“The waters are a bit divided. At the moment, almost everyone has strengthened their intention to vote. Things are relatively clear to everyone. (…) Even those who are undecided have their reasons to be undeclared and may make a decision on the last day. (…) A strong emotion, generated by a statement,points out the sociologist Gelu Sunday.
For his part, the sociologist Ionaș Vladimir points out that a massive presence would ensure clarity on the evening of the vote: “Only a very great presence can change something of this clarity we have, otherwise not. We will have an extreme score, extremely tight between the two, at least in the country. (…) The estimated presence is about 60%. We still have an important percentage, somewhere in 7% of the electorate, who still thinks if to participate. (…) The difference can be done by only those who have not voted in the first round and will come out now ”.
“Generally, those who vote in addition to the tour One, come out with a vote against. And that's why they say they can make a difference”, Explains Ionaș Vladimir.
What the data looks like
The last survey, conducted by IRSOP, shows that, at an estimated voting presence at 60%, 52% of them would vote in favor of Nicuşor Dan, while 48% would opt for George Simion. The study also analyzes the preferences according to the prime minister that the candidates have nominated in the debates, a context in which the percentages change. 51% would like a tandem Nicușor Dan – Ilie Bolojan, and 42% opt for Tandem George Simion – Călin Georgescu. 7% do not know or want any of the variants, the reporting being made at the total sample, of 951 persons, between 10-13 May 2025.
Atlasintel places both candidates on a draw. According to him, 48.7% of the respondents said they voted with Nicuşor Dan, and 47.8% with George Simion, 1.8% of the participants would vote null, and 1.7% are still indecisions.
On the last day of the election campaign, the difference between the two candidates was only 0.9%, which announces an extremely tight election race, in which each vote matters.
The same Atlasintel survey also indicates that George Simion takes several votes in Moldova (56.9%), while Nicuşor Dan takes several votes in Transylvania (55.2%), Bucharest -Ilfov (48.6% compared to 43.9% – Simion), Muntenia (49% vs. 48%), Diaspora (52.3%).
The results from the first round
The gold leader, George Simion, obtained 40.96% of the votes expressed in the first round of the presidential elections 2025, gathering 3,862,404 votes. In the second place was ranked the independent candidate Nicușor Dan, with 20.99% (1,979,767 votes), who has been in a detach of Crin Antonescu, the candidate of the ruling coalition, which obtained 20.07%. In the diaspora, Simion registered a score of 61%, gathering 587,190 votes
