The West doesn't know what he is doing. The key to the end of the war is in Beijing. Without China in the Kremlin, the lights will go out
It is still believed that real military actions – reinforcement, mobilization, attack – can be repelled with symbolic gestures. The trip of four heads of states and governments to Kiev, where they gathered around the iPhone to call Trump, delivered material to television, but this did not change.
Also the announcement of the new German Minister of Foreign Affairs that in the perspective five percent. Gross domestic product (GDP) intended by the West for reinforcement, scares Putin and XI Jinping, it is true.
Many Western politicians are in a losing situation because they are badly advised by Think Tanka and self -proclaimed strategists. Political scientist Carlo Masala from the Bundeswehr University in Munich in his book “World in Chaos” describes new, multiple crises, and his colleague Peter Neumann, Professor King's College in London, calls it “the new world order”. Ian Bremmer from Eurasia Group, in turn, claims:
In Europe, however, we obsessively focus on Putin and Zelanski, while two players are not in cheap to survive.
“Over the past three years, both men have gained a reputation of maximalists,” they write in the latest edition of the prestigious magazine “Foreign Affairs” Samuel Chap, a senior political scientist in the well -known Think Tank Rand Corporation and Sergiej Radczenko, professor at John Hopkins.
Europe should therefore direct its attention from the European battlefield towards Asia. The place of the Soviet Union was not Russia, but the People's Republic of China.
“Against the will of China, you can extend the war in Ukraine, but you can't win it”
The confrontation of old type blocks finds its continuation in Nowy Duopol – China versus the USA. The most important difference is that the new Western antagonist is an equal economic partner and thanks to the technological potential he is able to create strong alliances.
The Soviets had partners in Cuba and Angola. A coalition of weakening Eastern Bloc countries gathered in the Warsaw system. Czechoslovakia, the GDR and Hungary already had internal problems with maintaining their nations in check. It is enough to mention the uprising in Eastern Berlin on June 17, 1953, the Hungarian Uprising in 1956 and the Prague of the spring of 1968. These countries could not even think about the war with the West.
After three years of war in Ukraine, Russia depends on China in economic and military terms. Western sanctions did not defeat Putin, but only pushed him to the Chinese side. Without Chinese purchases of oil and gas, and the Chinese CIPS payment system, which currently supports the entire Russian payment movement with abroad, the light will go out in the Kremlin.
Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin in Moscow, May 9, 2025 (illustrative photos)
Recognition of this reality must lead Europe and the United States to reflect. War on three fronts – military against Russia, economic against Chinese leaders, and soon a military exchange of blows around Taiwan may not be won. The atomic world power, which is China, can be irritated, but not overcome. Against the will of Beijing, you can extend the war in Ukraine, but you can't win it.
“The world has a new ordering force in China”
Therefore, the simultaneousness of anti -Russian rhetoric and the pursuit of economic independence from China results from overestimating the strength of the West. One of the people who noticed and expressed in words is Jamie Dimon – General Director of JP Morgan, the largest Western bank.
In an interview with The Financial Times, Dimon advises strategic modesty, because it is impossible to achieve all goals at the same time, and in a dispute with half the world. He stated:
“Do you think that the US President should call XI Jinping and ask about his family?” – the question of the journalist “The Financial Times”, in which you could feel disbelief.
“I think that adults should talk to each other, listen to each other and recognize when the other side is right or at least presents a good point of view. I don't think the Chinese and Americans are currently conducting dialogue. But this can be changed tomorrow. It is best to start with a telephone conversation,” Dimon replied.
The conclusion is that the key to resolving the great issues of war and peace It is not in Moscow, Kiev or Ankara, but in Beijing. The world has a new ordering force in China, which we simply have not yet accepted.
