If the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, KO could count on 32 percent. votes, and PiS – for 18.2 percent. – according to the April CBOS survey. Confederation came third with the support of 13 percent, followed by KKP with the support of 8.7 percent. and New Left with support of 5.8 percent.
On Friday, CBOS published the results of its latest party survey. As we read in the statement, if the parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, 75.6% of voters would take part in them. entitled to vote.
The Civic Coalition takes first place in the poll with 32 percent support. votes. Compared to the March measurement, support for the most important ruling party increased by 2.8 percentage points. This is the best result for Donald Tusk's party since April 2025,” notes CBOS.
Law and Justice came in second place with 18.2 percent support. This – as indicated by labor – means a decrease of 2.9 points. percent compared to the last survey and at the same time “equalizing the worst result of this group since the parliamentary elections in February this year.”
The next places are taken by Konfederation and Grzegorz Braun's Confederation of the Crown of Poland – with 13% support, respectively. (+ 1.9 percentage points compared to the March survey) and 8.7 percent. in the case of Braun's party. The ratings of the latter group have deteriorated by 2.3 points since March. percent
According to a CBOS poll, she would still enter parliament The New Left, which can count on support of 5.8 percent. – i.e. by 2.3 points. percent more than a month ago. The Razem party was just below the electoral threshold with a result of 4.9%. (- 1.1 percentage points compared to the previous survey).
PSL would also be outside the parliament with the support of 3%. (decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared to March) and Poland 2050 with support at the level of 0.7%, the same since March.
10.9 percent However, respondents could not say which party they would vote for. “a decrease of 1.7 points compared to March and 4.3 points compared to February,” notes CBOS.
The studio also checked which groups could receive the votes of people who hesitated or refused to answer. “For this purpose, we carried out data imputation allowing us to extrapolate their electoral preferences based on the socio-demographic characteristics of the respondents. As a result of the imputation, the difference between the two leading parties decreased slightly, which means that among undecided voters and respondents refusing to answer, PiS may have slightly more supporters than KO,” the release noted.
“After imputation, 34.7 percent of voters would vote for KO, while PiS would be supported by 22.8 percent of voters. The ownership of both Confederations would increase to the same extent – 14.5 percent of voters would vote for the WiN Confederation, and 10.2 percent of voters would support KKP,” CBOS points out.
As added, in this approach, both left-wing parties would have a chance to exceed the electoral threshold – the New Left could count on 6.7 percent. support, and Razem – at 5.8 percent. votes. “As a result of imputation, the parties whose results were below the electoral threshold gained relatively the least – PSL is supported by 3.7% of voters, and Poland 2050 – 1.5%.” – we read.
“In April, the Civic Coalition clearly strengthened its leadership position, but it seems that there is no reason to celebrate yet, because the total result of the potential coalition of right-wing parties (in the broadest version, i.e. PiS plus both Confederations) is 39.9 percent and is still higher than the total results of the parties of the current government coalition – KO and New Left (37.8 percent) – which exceed the electoral threshold,” the studio concludes.
The CBOS survey was conducted between April 13 and 15 this year. using the CATI method (telephone interviews) on a sample of one thousand adult residents of Poland. (PAP)
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