An AtlasIntel poll, published a few hours before the Hungarian elections, shows how wide the gap has become between Orban's party and the opposition Tisza

Just hours before the polls open in Hungary, estimates show that the current Hungarian prime minister will return to the opposition after 16 years.

“Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's party, FIDESZ, is in second place in a new election poll by AtlasIntel, a firm known for its highly accurate predictions of the results of major elections,” writes Newsweek in an article published Saturday, announcing that “Viktor Orbán is receiving a troubling signal.”

• AtlasIntel is the institute with which Hotnews collaborated in the last series of elections in Romania. For some of the polls, AtlasIntel's results were close to the official results, for others, not (for example, the one for the Capital City Hall, last year).
• AtlasIntel has a good reputation for results close to the official ones in the US market or those in Spain in 2023, as Newsweek also mentions.
• The Hungarian survey was conducted nationwide among the Hungarian adult population between April 5-10, 2026, with 1,587 respondents, using AtlasIntel's random digital recruitment methodology.
• The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points, with a confidence level of 95%.

Considerable advance

The poll shows that the opposition Tisza party, led by Peter Magyar, is well ahead of Viktor Orbán's ruling Fidesz party.

According to the results, Tisza has 52.1% of the vote, compared to 39.3% for Fidesz. The same difference, 52 to 39, was given by another survey, by the Publicus Institute.

Magyar is also ahead of Orbán in terms of personal popularity.

When respondents were asked who they think is best suited for the position of Prime Minister of Hungary, 48.7% chose Magyar. Orbán was elected by 40.8%.

Elections on Sunday

Hungarian voters are called to the polls for the parliamentary elections on Sunday, April 12, 2026, when polling stations will open across the country in the morning and close in the early evening, writes Newsweek. Including Hungarians in Romania who have dual citizenship can vote on Sunday.

Preliminary results are expected late on election night, with most votes to be counted within hours of polls closing.