How the calculations for the title look after the last stage in 2025! Rapid is NOT the main favorite anymore

The Super League will resume in mid-January, in 2026 with the last 9 rounds of the regular season to be played, before the line is drawn and who goes to the play-offs and who goes to the play-outs. The fight, this season, for the leading positions, seems tighter than ever, being 9 teams in 9 points. The limit between 6th and 7th place is even tighter, being a tie between Oțelul Galati and Cluj University, respectively, both with 33 points.

The statisticians at Football Meets Data have redone the calculations at the end of 2025, after the last round played, and there are changes in both the top 6 positions and the main favorite to win the title.

FCSB, seen among the teams that will reach the play-offs

FCSB, the reigning champion, ended 2025 very well, with two consecutive victories, which brought them to the 31st position in the ranking. Even though they are currently out of the play-off places, being in ninth position, FCSB is only two points away from the 6th place, the last one going to the play-offs.

And precisely for this reason, experts believe that FCSB will be in the TOP 6 at the end of the season, anticipating that the red-blues will finish in third position, after Craiova and Rapid.

Among the teams that are now in the play-off, FC Argeș and Oțelul, occupying the 5th and 6th places, are considered as teams that will leave this area, in their place coming to the leading platoon FCSB and Universitatea Cluj.

How the play-off would look like, according to statisticians:

1. University of Craiova

2. Rapid

3. FCSB

4. Dinamo

5. FC Botosani

6. U Cluj

What are the chances of winning the title at the end of 2025

At the beginning of the season, FCSB was seen as the main favorite to win the title. However, the red-blues had a modest championship debut and lost ground, which is why the calculations changed quickly. Between stages 5-11, Craiova was the leader and seen as the main favorite to win the championship. Then, the Oltenians collapsed, and Rapid and FC Botoșani were the teams that, in turn, shared first place, which is why the formation from Giulesti was seen as the main favorite to win the title.

As the end of the year found the rapidists in a weaker moment, the team losing the last two games, and Craiova winning and returning to the first place, now the statisticians consider that the Oltenians are the main favorites to become champions.

Here are the odds of winning the title:

Regarding the situation at the bottom of the ranking, the risk of relegation for those from Metaloglobus increased by 4%, and for those from Unirea Slobozia decreased by 7%.

Superliga standings at the end of 2025