There is still a lot of time until the parliamentary elections, but the fight to win the electorate is still ongoing. Who is doing the best so far and who is lagging behind the peloton?
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The most popular parties in Poland. Who's on the podium?
The latest survey conducted by the Opinia24 studio for “Fakty” TVN and TVN24 examined the voting preferences of Poles. The results show that it is still at the top of the ranking Civic Coalition, which won 32.8 percent. votes, which means an increase of 1.1 percentage points. compared to the study from the beginning of December.
It took second place Law and Justice with a result of 25.4 percent.which is a slight increase of 0.3 percentage points. The podium closes The Confederation, which received the support of 10.7 percent. respondents – however, it recorded a decrease by as much as 3.9 percentage points.
See also: Jarosław Kaczyński is losing importance? Poles no longer see him as a leader [SONDAŻ]
Party polls. What's going on behind the podium?
She placed just behind the top three Confederation of the Crown of Poland, Grzegorz Braun's party, which won 8.6 percent. votesrecording an increase of 2.4 percentage points.
See also: Are we going to have Polexit? New survey
Leftwhich enjoyed greater support in previous polls, this time received 4.9 percent, which means a drop of 1.7 percentage points. The next places were taken by the party Together with a result of 3.5 percent (-1.1 percentage points), Polish People's Party with support at the level of 2.6 percent. (+1.4 percentage points) and Poland 2050which obtained 2.1 percent, recording a decrease of 0.7 percentage points.
The Opinia24 survey for “Fakty” TVN and TVN24 shows that 5.6 percent respondents still have not decided who they would vote for in the elections. The “other party” option was chosen by 1.3 percent. respondents, and 2.5 percent respondents refused to answer.
What do the survey results show?
The results of party polls in Poland show significant variability, reacting to current political events, economic crises or ideological disputes, which means that support for individual parties may fluctuate by several percentage points even in short periods of time.
When there is a lot of time left before the elections, such research does not function as a forecast of the final result, but serves primarily as a tool for monitoring social mood and assessing trends, allowing parties to adjust their strategy and communication with voters. These polls are of great value as an indicator of the dynamics of the political scene, showing whether a given government is losing trust or whether smaller parties have a chance to cross the electoral threshold in the new round.
However, please remember: standard statistical margin of error, usually around 3 percentage points., which means that small differences between studies may be just statistical noise and not a real change in support.
