The center of attention was Donald Trump's suggestion that Americans could receive a “dividend of at least $2,000 per person”, which, as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified, could be included in the tax relief formula. For the market, this is a signal that the tax authorities can again boost the economic situation, regardless of the fact that inflation still remains above the target.
“The president's comments about potential tariff-related rebates show how broad fiscal ideas are becoming today,” Daniela Hathorn, senior analyst at Capital.com, told Yahoo Finance. In her opinion, it's a classic environment run-it-hotin which governments increase spending despite persistent inflation, a The renewed interest in gold suggests that investors are hedging themselves in the event of even higher price dynamics and renewed political uncertainty.
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Gold is gaining in value
An additional spark was a bill in the Senate that could end the shutdown as early as this week. Unblocking the work of the administration would allow the publication of outstanding macro data and made it easier for the Federal Reserve to calibrate monetary policy ahead of December.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell a month ago, after the October rate cut, avoided declarations about another cut. According to investors, new data and a more lenient fiscal policy increase the chances of continued easing. This favors precious metals, which gain compared to profitable assets in a lower interest rate environment.
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Despite a sudden halt to the rally in October, gold is still up by approximately 57% year-to-date. and is heading for its best year since 1979.
The driving force remains central bank purchases, increased inflows to ETF funds and demand for bars and coins. However, not everyone believes in a further march north. Macquarie analysts recently assessed that the peak was established after breaking above $4,350. in October. At the same time, parts of Wall Street remain positive. “We remain bullish on gold as an effective portfolio diversifier and hedge,” Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and global head of equities at UBS Global Wealth Management, wrote on Monday.
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It maintains a 12-month goal of $4,200. per ounce, with the potential to reach $4,700. in the scenario of a significant increase in political and market risks.
Note: the companies and valuations included in the text are for information purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or any other form of suggestion for the purchase or sale of financial products. Investment decisions should be preceded by your own analysis of risk and financial situation.
