In the analysis published on September 30, ISW draws attention to the communication of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SWR), which without evidence stated that Ukraine allegedly preparing to attack Polish critical infrastructure facilities.
In the opinion of American analysts, Similar statements can be an element of the Kremlin's preparation for their own sabotage operations, while shouting to Kiev.
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Poland's goal of Russia and Belarus. American experts warn against one
Think tank reminds you that Russia has repeatedly used SWR to spread false narratives and disinformation. These types of campaigns are aimed at weakening international support for Ukraine, as well as causing distrust of the actions taken by NATO countries.
“The Kremlin probably builds the information environment that will allow him to blame Ukraine in the future for the attacks that he can carry out against Poland or other allies of the North Atlantic Alliance” – assesses ISW in its report.
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This is not the first attempt of this kind. On September 26, Russia accused Ukraine of sending drones that were to violate the airspace of Poland and Romania. At the time, Moscow suggested that the purpose of Kiev's actions was to provoke an open clash between NATO and Russia. Both Warsaw and Bucharest rejected Russian accusations, indicating that the incidents were related to the actions carried out by the Russian side.
Experts from Washington They emphasize that similar narratives are characteristic of the Russian propaganda strategy: before provocation or sabotage occurs, Moscow is trying to create the impression that responsibility rests in Ukraine. According to ISW, such activities may soon be aimed at Poland.
