Istanbul 2022 2025. Is there a chance to tomorrow to “upgrade peace”. First, we must answer …


First of all, we need to answer the question Why did those negotiation fail? I would like to remind you then the Russian delegation from the leg came with a number of requirements that meant Actual surrender of Ukraine:
▪️ recognition of annexation of Crimea;
▪️“Independence” for “LNR” and “DNR”;
▪️ “Demilitarization” and “denacification;
▪️No safety guarantees.
Conditions were unacceptable but Ukraine She was looking for compromisesand in response – new requirements for recognition of the Russian language by the second state, abolition of sanctions and Far.
What do we see now? Repetition of history. All the same delegation of the Russian Federation, all the same city, all the same dolmbakhche. The requirements are all the same, but now, given the “realities of 3 years of war”. So how can weo accept what was not accepted then, After 3 years of this hell? What is here showing:
▪️Then and now they put forward unrealistic conditions for us, when we agree to speak – new ones appear. The process is endless;
▪️The level of the Russian delegation does not indicate a willingness to speak substantially and it even recognizes Rubio.
▪️Today, he resembled a farce by both Putin and Trump. All the seriousness of the moment was smeared with Moscow and smeared with Washington.
It is important to understand that negotiations then broke not because of not the desire to speak, Not because of Boris Johnson, who “persuaded Kiev to go to the end”, as the Russians like to disperse. There were inadequate requirements. Now the Russians emphasize what is important to them resolve the “root cause of the conflict”. And this is nothing but a Ukrainian sovereignty. Do you see a change in rhetoric? And I'm not.
What to wait?
▪️This behavior clearly indicates that they will not speak in essence. New arguments, new excuses will appear. They will even ask for a unicorn if you perform the previous ones;
▪️These are negotiations for negotiations. And this is understood by everyone, but our goal is to show Trump really,
Who wants peace and who takes time. To earn points, because otherwise no one would go there, everyone knows Russian;
▪️Putin is not profitable to go to the ceasefire
at least by autumn while the weather allows you to step on the front
And, and their economy is still strong:
▪️Trump does not show the categoricality that gives Putin green light and
It does not stimulate to stop.
▪️Putin can go for 30 days, in the usual mode, but for us it will not carry anything good in such realities.
If you reject all today's runner and leave the naked essence – Nothing happened. In general. Not to mention any positive signals about installing such beloved to all and Come in the words of “long -term peace”. We are waiting for the day and read between the lines.
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