“It seems to me that we are in a situation in which this mix of ruling does not like anyone,” diagnoses Sobolewski, indicating that both the parliamentary majority and the president's camp are uncomfortable. The economist emphasizes that a difficult cohabitation awaits us for at least two years, which can negatively affect the Polish economy. Analysts warn that cohabitation can lead to the legislative deadlock and limit the government's ability to conduct economic reforms.
Sobolewski, however, believes that in addition to the political dispute, connecting points should be found. “It seems to me if I had any voting right here, I would vote for the consensus and the common policy to apply to economic issues,” the expert declares.
The economy as an element of national security
The chief economist of Employers of the Republic of Poland argues that “the economy is a twin brother, he is an integral part of national security.” He emphasizes that it is from a strong economy that the possibility of incurring defense expenditure, army maintenance and a strong negotiating position in international negotiations.
“The growing prosperity of Poles is the basis of social satisfaction. He hinders the submission of society, hinders mobilizing us to extreme behavior in the political arena” – explains Sobolewski, indicating the systemic connections between the economy and internal security.
Investments as a strategic priority
In his opinion, the key challenge for the Polish economy is the dramatically low investment rate. “There are absolutely crucial matters in this economy, such as stimulating investments. Which of these 17 percent of GDP must go well over 20 percent.” – emphasizes Sobolewski.
The expert reminds you that there is a place to look for a consensus planes. Already in the strategy for responsible development, Mateusz Morawiecki declared an increase in investments from 20 to 25 percent. GDP. It is also a priority of the current government team. However, the data show that Poland is in second place from the end in the European Union in terms of investment rate. In 2024 it amounted to only 16.9 percent. GDP, while the EU average exceeds 20 percent
Private investment deficit
The situation of private enterprises investments is particularly disturbing. “In the case of private companies in Poland, we invest 9 percent of GDP. There are countries in the region where there are 16. We must grow 75 percent when it comes to business investments” – Alarm Sobolewski.
The economist notes that Polish public investments are at a similar level as in other EU countries, but it is The private sector requires revival. “Here is the question of how to do it. This is not a topic developed by a political dispute and this topic can be developed by experts,” he adds.
Political struggle and priorities
Sobolewski believes that the promises of President Nawrocki will not build this agreement. “Tax reduction for families with two children has little to do with investments,” he said. He criticizes the submission of tax reductions while criticizing the government for too much fiscal deficit as elements of political struggle.
“I think that at the expert level, on the side of the President, as on the side of the Polish government, we should strain this political struggle from critical priorities we are able to communicate” – says the economist.
All program:
Onet in the morning. Financially
“Onet in the morning”. Financially is a weekly program in which Business Insider journalists talk to invited experts of the business world and politics about current events and issues related to the Polish economy, public finances and the impact of politics on the wallets of every Pole.
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