The US surgery caused a huge Iran's regression First of all, at one point: if the nuclear objects were actually destroyed or seriously damaged, the atomic threat from the side disappears. The opening of the declared goal of Tehran, which is the destruction of Israel, thus became a distant perspective. Unless Iran has nuclear objects that still function or have been kept secret.
Israel's attacks in the last 10 days have seriously damaged the already outdated Iranian air force and shaken the rocket strategy, which was the strong side of the state until now. Until recently, the rocket arsenal was estimated at about 3000 pieces. Israel claims that during raids he destroyed about 40 percent of rockets and about two -thirds of the launcher. In addition, since the outbreak of war between the Tehran countries, he has already launched about 500 rockets towards Israel. The supplies are slowly running out.
The Iranians show strength only in areas that do not directly relate to military abilities. They still have in this area Two insidious aces in the sleeve: Hacker attacks on the Saudi oil giant Aramco and the Israeli water treatment system signaled that they strengthened in cyberspace. In addition, they have fanatical supporters around the world who can at any time make attacks on objects or people from hostile countries.
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Friends of Iran
The question of this remains who could still support the Iranians in realizing their threats. It is difficult to expect help from old allies, such as Hamas, Huti and Hezbollah, who are too weak after the attacks of Israel and the United States. Therefore, we ask ourselves the question of whether Iran's friends in Russia, China or North Korea could intervene in the war.
Russia “definitely condemned” the US attacks and demanded the reaction of the UN Security Council and the International Atomic Energy Agency (Maea). China also defined the attack as a violation of the United Nations Card.
– I assume that Russia and China will continue to defend Iran in the diplomatic arena and condemn American and Israeli intervention. However, I can't see the possibility currently direct intervention – says Blick Marcel Berni, strategy expert at the ETH Military Academy.
On his own
According to him, as in the case of Bashar al-Assad in Syria or the Azerbaijan attack on Armenia, Russia will probably keep restraint And he will concentrate in Ukraine. This happens despite the fact that Moscow received important drones from Iran. In a “comprehensive strategic partnership” agreement in January, there is also no mention of the obligation to provide military assistance.
China so far avoided direct confrontation with the United States in the Middle East. The exporting country is primarily afraid of breakdown in trade if he was involved in the war. “Beginning cooperates with Iran, but he concentrates militarily in Taiwan,” says Berni.
There is also Kim Jong Un. North Korea's dictator can potentially support Iran with rocket supplies. Direct military support, however, is unlikely because North Korea is not able to wage war at a distance.
– Iran is largely on his own and the remaining network of asymmetrical substitute forces – sums up Berni.
I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.
