Will Russia occupy the east of Ukraine? Moscow plans for 2026

Last week, the deputy head of the office of the President of Ukraine Pawło Palisa presented a map, which shows that until September 1 Russia plans to occupy the entire territory of the Donetsk and Lugansk District, and by the end of 2026 the rest of the Ukrainian territory east of Dnieper and the Oddiper and Mikołajów District.
Russia wants “occupy a whole part of Ukraine on the left (eastern) bank of the Dnieper” – said the palis. The map shows what could happen within 18 months if Russia is not stopped – he alarm. Ukraine would be completely deprived of access to the Black Sea.
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Russia recently announced that her forces enter Ukrainian regions that are not under her occupation – noted “Newsweek”.
On Monday, the Russian Ministry of Defense and representatives of the Kremlin reported that the Russian forces crossed the border of the Donetsk and Dnepropetrovsk region. The Ukrainian authorities did not confirm reports of the presence of Russian troops in the Dnepropetrovsk region. There was also unconfirmed information about the entering the Russians into the summary region.
In 2022, Vladimir Putin announced “joining” to Russia of four occupied Ukrainian circuits – Donetski, Lugansk, Zaporoski and Kherson, despite the fact that its troops did not control and still do not control these regions in full.
“Newsweek” assessed that the map presented by Ukraine in combination with recent messages flowing from Moscow about new operations testify to the wider territorial ambitions of the Kremlin in Ukraine, going beyond the demands presented during negotiations, in which President Donald Trump tries to mediate.
The American Institute of War Studies published a version of the map presented by the palisa, on which Russia plans to take control of 336 300 square km by the end of 2026 – more than half of the total area of Ukraine.
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“At this point, Ukrainians know that if they do not take action, if they hesitate or do nothing, Russia will simply make progress. The fears do not only apply to escalation, but to survival” – Elina Beketov from Washington's Think -Tanku Center for European Policy Analysis (flail) told” Newsweek “.
According to military analysts, Moscow will try to intensify offensive actions to increase pressure during peaceful negotiations, but will not be able to maintain this pressure forever and may have difficulty maintaining the pace of action in 2026.