The proportions of Trump and the first excellent news for Romania. “It was a very dangerous track for us.”

Donald Trump seems to have found the solution to keep the syno-Russian alliance. An analyst Ștefan Popescu explains, in an analysis for “Adevărul”, how Trump managed to change the rules in a space war that the US was at risk of losing, but also why the latest Washington signals are excellent.

Illustrative image. Photo: Shutterstock

With the return to the White House, Donald Trump has set out to divide Russia and China, at a time when Beijing is considered the true danger to Washington. It would be a crown of his policies, after even in the mandate of Joe Biden Russia and China, they gave their hands in an unprecedented alliance, which all the American presidents until then, starting with Richard Nixon sought and managed to prevent. Part of the doctrine of Henry Kissinger, the idea of ​​keeping Russia away from China and avoiding the two states from joining America was respected with all presidents, until Democrat Joe Biden.

This has always been the fear of America, especially given that all the analyzes of Washignon experts show that the United States would not be able to cope with a hypothetical war against a China – Russia Alliance.

Donald Trump's tactic was apparently simple. Without caring about the reproaches of political rivals in the United States or the dissatisfaction of Europeans, he agreed to negotiate Putin with Russia and made some concessions. He went so far that he neglected relations with Ukraine, but instead promised to resume business relations with Moscow, which would bring profits of hundreds of billions to companies in both states. And the first results are beginning to be seen.

The moment when Moscow no longer repeats after Beijing

After the Trump administration spoke openly about the construction of an advanced missile defense system, nicknamed “Golden Dome”, which would completely change the forces ratio, China reacted vehemently and accused that the project developed by Washington would have obvious offensive implications and disrupt the global strategic balance.

Surprisingly, for the first time in recent years, Russia has not rushed to criticize the US, and even sent a rather neutral message. This would be a first signal that Trump's policy against the Alliance between Beijing and Moscow begins to give results.

International political analyst Stefan Popescu is among those who believe that despite the critics he is subjected to, the Trump administration begins to achieve their goals, at a time when not even the political rivals inside the United States were expected.

Where does the Trump administration point out

“The last telephone conversation Vladimir Putin-Donald Trump, namely the communication given following this telephone conversation shows us that the Russian-American negotiations continue. The semitone is rather positive for the Russian Federation, the more we observe and an intensification of the Russian military operations on the front of Ukraine. Trump, with all the reproaches we can do, has a series of successes. And at this moment, Trump's policy is not in the direction of a Russian-American partnership, by no means, but of an arrangement of American and Russian interests and avoiding Russia to become a satellite state, a satellite power guided by China and subordinated to China. the American administration.says the expert.

And Moscow makes some concessions to the United States, which are too little talked about in Europe. While in the countries of the European Union all eyes are on the peace negotiations in Ukraine, this is a secondary file for the United States. The priorities of the Americans are obviously Indo-Pacific and the Middle East, although they do not give up Europe.

What did Trump get

“Basically, Donald Trump has followed to make sure that Russia will not go on China's hand in two major files, on the Arctic area and on the area of ​​the Mijociu East. And we already observe certain openings, the openings that take place on the world price of oil, to increase the oil production that has also been made with the acceptance of the Russian Federation, which is part of the Arabia Saudi. Direct negotiations ported with Iran, where here we must also see a certain discussion with the Russian Federation, given the strategic partnership that Iran has with this country.”, Says the expert.

Ștefan Popescu. Photo: personal archive

The expectations of the Americans are realistic, says Stefan Popescu.

„Vorbim de o direcție realistă, turneul din 13-16 mai din Orientul Nijociu, din Monarhiile Sunnite, a ocolit Israelul și a pus în evidență ce înseamnă doctrina America First, care înseamnă un realism asumat, o abandonare a messianismului care caracteriza în mod tradițional administrația americană și un semnal foarte interesant apropo de renunțarea la politica de promovare a democrației și de acceptare a Political regimes in the states as they are.”, Says Stefan Popescu.

Good news for Romania

For Romania, the relaxation of Russian-American relations would not announce in principle good things. But any kind of fears should be eliminated, says Stefan Popescu. And the recent message given by Trump to Romania, immediately after the elections, is a good one, considers the expert. Even if cold, the message transmits with the subject and preached that the Americans still have interests here and will not abandon their allies. Also, the appointment of the new ambassador is a good sign in this regard.

“One of these good signs for Romania is given, and I think it is especially good in the current context, to mention it, the very rapid appointment of an ambassador to Bucharest, which has a direct line with the White House. This fact represents without a doubt an interest signal for Romania, including the statement that was published by the President Donald Trump, and what is a Social Black ”, underlines Stefan Popescu.

Avoid contrast between US and EU

In this way, Romania manages to avoid compromising relations with the main strategic partner, the United States. And the stake of this bilateral partnership is all the greater as the United States of America is the guarantor that ensures the Security not only for Romania, but for the whole of Europe.

“I think we have to put in a much wider context and I think that this statement with the immediate appointment of the new ambassador represents two notable successes for Romania. This shows that bilateral relations have not been compromised. And another aspect that seems important to me, if we are to broaden the discussion, it is that, at the official level, it was a contrast between the European Union. Dangerous to which some opinion trainers, analysts go when we have to choose between the European and US, respectively, between France and the United States. Restarting the relationship with the United States.”, Concludes Stefan Popescu