2025-05-10 18:00
publication
2025-05-10 18:00
Currently, 56 conflicts are underway in the world, most since the end of World War II, and global expenses for reinforcement have reached a record level; The UN does not fulfill its role in the dialogue, but regional agreements and medium powers are becoming more and more important – according to the analysis of The Copenhagen Peace Report 2025.
The main author of the study Isabel Bramsen from the University of Lund, Sweden as a reason for the increase in tension in the world mentions the end of the world order in which the United States as superpower played the role of a guardian.
“On the other hand, there is a competition for the primacy of power between China, Russia and the USA,” emphasizes Bramsen. He adds that “we are also witnessing the transformation of civil wars into international conflicts.” In addition, in her opinion, the impact of climate change can be considered important. “Land (crop), territory and minerals take on a different meaning because of global warming,” he concludes.
As we read in the report, “this escalation emphasizes the complexity of global conflicts, often covering many entities and crossing borders.” “The civil war in Sudan turned out to be the third most deadly conflict of this year (2025) after the war in Ukraine and Israel and Palestine,” Brameen emphasizes in the analysis.
According to the data cited in the document for the American organization ACLED, the number of global conflicts has doubled in the last five years, and one in the world has been exposed to conflict in the period from July 2023 to July 2024. At the same time, the global peace index (GPI) in 2024 fell by 0.56 percent, compared to the previous year. This means a continuation of the 16-year trend, during which the global level of peace has deteriorated by 6 percent.
The April report of the international Stockholm Institute for Peace (SIPRI) shows that over the past year of the world, they spent 9.4 percent for military purposes. more. The value of this type of investment increased in 2024 for the tenth year in a row, to over $ 2.7 tribute. This is especially responsible for 17 percent increased. expenditure in Europe (including Russia). “The amount of weapons also affects the risk of its use,” notes Bramsen.
The Copenhagen Peace Report 2025 criticizes the organization of the United Nations, created after World War II, a forum to counteract conflicts and wars. A reform of the UN Security Council is necessary to enable dialogue between the parties to conflicts to a greater extent; The leaders of the states talk more with their voters than adversaries – he emphasizes in the analysis.
As emphasized, the problem is also the lack of support from the US authorities for the UN. “You don't invest large funds in diplomacy or any innovative thinking about ways to resolve conflicts,” notes Bramen.
What will the future be like? “The main powers, including steel members of the TZN Security Council, and other countries, will be more and more disconnected from the global order based on the principles, establishing precedents (in leaving – PAP) from the established norms,” says the report.
The development of the regionalization process was indicated as promising, under which countries in Europe, Asia and Africa and the Middle East cooperate and coordinate reactions to crises. “This can have a positive impact on conflict resolution,” he was pointed out.
Similarly, changes in the “global system of forces create new opportunities for diplomatic configurations.” “Medium -sized powers, regional organizations and non -state entities can play a greater role in balancing competition from larger powers,” emphasizes the report. He reminds that Türkiye and Saudi Arabia turned out to be potential intermediaries. Similarly, the importance of the countries of the global south, including South Africa, is growing.
The study The Copenhagen Peace Report 2025 was published on the initiative of the Danish Hesbjerg Foundation.
Daniel Zyśk (PAP)
zys/ akl/
