Data from a survey conducted by Inscop for Tour 2: At a higher presence, the difference between George Simion and Nicușor Dan decreases


George Simion and Nicușor Dan, at the presidential debate from Euronews Photo: Inquam Photos / Malina Norocea
The journalist Dan Udrea (Golazo.ro) obtained information from an opinion poll conducted after the first round tour.
Inscop conducted an opinion poll before tour 2 of the presidential elections, from May 18th.
The results of this study, however, will not be published by the respective institute, the argument of the ones from Inscop being: “I have made the decision to not publish surveys in the election campaign for a long time, in order not to join the sales of polls, electoral advertorials”.
The important score is that of the percentages of the two candidates: 52% for Simion, 48% for Nicușor Dan. More precisely: “52 comma and a little at 47 comma and more”, according to sources inside the insc. In fact, without providing figures, the head of the Inscop, Remus Stefureac, written on Friday on Facebook about a difference of only 4 percent between the two candidates, the diaspora being not taken into account.
1,000,000 new voters in round 2
Another result from the sociological research conducted by the insc is the one regarding the presence of the vote. According to the survey, in round 2 the percentage of those who would vote would be higher by around 10%.
On the estimation of 14 days ago, for participation in round 1, the result showed only 50%, the official figure of those who voted was 53%. Would mean that 1,000,000 people to vote in addition to round 2 to pass 60%
The margin of error in insc research is +- 2%.