Politics

Tour 2 does not start from scratch. What chances does Nicușor Dan have

The protest vote of millions of compatriots has not only justification, but also resistance. He does not disappear in two weeks.

People I respect claim that tour 2 is playing from scratch. Sociologist Gelu Sunday, for example, writes that George Simion's basin has exhausted. They do not appreciate this from elitism. Besides, on Sunday he is a completely devoid specialist, a model for me.

Only, in reality, when you enter the final stages of competitions, only the clock, not the teams. On May 18, at the final of the presidentials in Romania, the same players will enter the field, who will have the same fans.

No one returned from a difference of 1.9 million votes

Never in the history of Romanian democracy, a candidate who won the 1st tour of 1.9 million votes, like George Simion in front of Nicușor Dan, was not overturned in round 2.

There were, it is true, spectacular comebacks.

In 2019, Traian Basescu lost 800,000 Votes Tour 1 in front of Adrian Nastase. Recovered and won 250,000 Tour Votes 2.

In 2014, Klaus Iohannis lost the 1 million votes in front of Victor Ponta. In the end, Iohannis won 1 million votes, so he recovered two million.

It is insufficient in the case now. Because, if we take into account the public expressed at 1.2 million votes of Victor Ponta, which will go to George Simion, the theoretical difference increases to 3 million.

Nicușor Dan should succeed, alone, what Băsescu and Iohannis have succeeded. And the votes of Crin Antonescu will rather be divided, even unequal, as they will probably disappear in absenteeism.

There is talk of activating the basin of those who did not come to the vote. How many extra? Another 25% as a presence over 50%, that is, a man, of the absent, to each of two people present? A 75% presence is unparalleled in recent decades.

Such a task, anti -gravitational, against the natural inertia of any of us, has no way to be born exclusively on the basis of reason. Emotion yes, it can move the mountains.

But the public emotion, so far, has worked in favor of George Simion. The feeling of injustice is an exceptional motivator.

The case of Canada

The silent anger of our compatriots acted and anger is there, because it is their right to feel and act.

In the rare voting territories, where the effect was the opposite, and Nicușor Dan won, a strong but rather local emotion was manifested.

The Romanians from Canada, for example, gathered over 8,000 votes, more than usually collecting the much higher community in the US. This is because the Romanians from Canada are part of a society offended by Donald Trump and frightened by the force Maga, a political current from which George Simion claims.

A week ago, the Canadians reacted to their own elections for the prime minister, and now the Canadian Romanians did the same, voting with Nicușor Dan, to the Romanian presidential elections.

The panels of the soldier Ciuca

If we think about what was happening last year this time, we may understand the full justification for the Sunday protest vote. In the spring of 2024, PNL began to fill the country with 400 panels that made, passing, advertising at the “book of soldier Nicolae Ciuca”.

Electoral banner with Nicolae Ciuca on a field near the A2 highway, in Constanța county, June 11, 2024. Inquam Photos / George Călin

In fact, the millions of euros from public money were masked political advertising, for the presidential elections that followed in the autumn of 2024. When the press caught him, the governors said, serene, that the black is white. Do not believe us, what matters, that's what we did not say. This kind of challenge, multiplied year after year, after the case, took the dignity to the citizens. Each poster of the 400 of the leader transmitted to the Romanians that they are nothing.

The first settlement came right in the fall. Now the anger was even greater. Proof that Simion on Sunday won more votes than they gathered plus Georgescu, in the fall.

The time of challenge

Tour 2 will not resume from scratch. No high thing, such as defense of democracy, can be done by ignoring, but by participating the basic emotions of people. And the feelings taken in decades of injustice do not disappear overnight. People will enter with emotions in tour 2.

Of course, Nicușor Dan has, in turn, a loyal audience, along with which he has achieved an implausible performance. To gather, a candidate without charisma, more votes than a much more routine, known and sustained public character, this is a small miracle. Even in the era of the delay of everything that seems pompous or institutional, the qualification of Nicușor in the 2 round comes out of patterns. Hotnews reporter Laurențiu Ungureanu registered a detail on the night of the elections.

After talking, a little and prudent, immediately after the exit polls, the mayor of Bucharest remained for another hour and a half to talk to the press. There was music in the air, nothing was heard around the stage, where dozens of volunteers and supporters had gathered.

“It will not be easy, it will be Nicușor”

Although the crowd did not hear anything about what the candidate for the outstretched microphones said, people remained there, patient and apparently a bit meaningless. The price of 90 minutes, they waited for the finalist, with the unwavering fidelity with which they also displayed on sheets of paper, glued with scotch, which they wrote: “It will not be easy, it will be no.”

No, it won't be easy at all. Because the Romania's part of Simion's supporters is just as entitled in their own faith about what is good and, instead, it has manifested much more to vote. To ask those who participated civically is unworthy in a democracy.

As for the people who have not voted, the fact that a possible chaos leads to much worse situations than the ones we have now, this seems like a distant threat, in the face of the more and more pleasant temperature of the surrounding spring.

Ashley Davis

I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.

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