Nicușor Dan survey would take fewer votes than Crin Antonescu in Bucharest-Ilfov, in a presidential final. Where George Simion takes more than 50% of votes in front of any candidate
Crin Antonescu, Nicușor Dan and George Simion. Collage: Ion Mateș / Hotnews. Photo: Inquam Photos, Profimedia
An analysis of the intention to vote on the regions and Bucharest, as it appears from the recent Atlasintel survey for Hotnews, shows what are the regions in which the candidates for the presidential elections are best.
- The Atlasintel survey was conducted on April 10-13, 2025 on a sample of 2,994 respondents, by the random digital recruitment method, has as universe the electorate in Romania and has an error margin of ± 2 percentage points at a level of 95%.
Diaspora votes strongly with Simion
According to the research, the Gold candidate, George Simion, would get in the second round of the elections over 50% of the votes in the diaspora, no matter what counter -candidate they would meet in the final.
With 34%, Nicușor Dan would be closest to Simion, the rest of the candidates being credited with lower percentages – Elena Lasconi – 31%, Crin Antonescu – 22.5%, Victor Ponta – 20.6%.
In the event of a final Antonescu vs. Dan – the percentage of those who do not know/do not vote/vote would be majority – 60%, compared to 16.9% vs. 22.4% as long as the two candidates take.
In fact, in the case of this scenario, the PSD-PNL-UDMR candidate would get the most votes at national level, 34.4% vs. 26.4% and is better in polls than Nicușor Dan and in the Bucharest-Ilfov region where it is quoted by 41.4% compared to 31.2%.
The Bucharest City Hall was won by Nicușor Dan last year, with over 46% of the votes expressed, but the Ilfov County Council returned to PNL, a party from which Antonescu comes.
What the scenarios look for tour 2
