If elections to the Sejm took place this Sunday, then 61.5 percent would take part in them. respondents. 37.5 percent does not intend to vote, and 1 percent It has not yet decided.
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According to the survey, she would have won the most votes Civic Coalition, for which 34.9 percent would vote. respondents (increase by 3.9 percentage points compared to the study from the end of March).
The second place belongs to Law and Justice. 28.8 percent voted for Jarosław Kaczyński's party. respondents (increase by 2.3 percentage points).
The podium closes Confederation, which is supported by 16.4 percent respondents (support remains stable). She would also get to the Sejm Left with 5 percent support.
Apart from parliament, there would be a third road (6.9 percent, below the 8 % threshold for the coalition) and the Total party (0.5 percent support). 7.5 percent voters are undecided. This is a significant decrease compared to the previous study, then 13.9 percent. He didn't know who he wanted to vote for.
Wirtualna Polska based on an election calculator created by prof. Jarosław Flis from the Jagiellonian University converted percentage to the number of seats in the Sejm. It shows that KO would obtain 202 seats, PiS – 163, Confederation – 84, and the left – 11.
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It follows that KO would not be able to rule either alone or in a coalition with the left. Most is needed 231 deputies in the Sejm. “Donald Tusk would have to look for allies in the confederation, which would be difficult, taking into account the current approach of the extreme right politicians to the rule of KO.
The study was carried out on April 4-6, 2025 with a mixed CAWI and CATI method on a representative sample of 1000 people.
