The last quarter of 2025 was very good for the Polish economy. GDP increased by 4%, which, according to economists, will give a signal for similar growth throughout 2026.
Data from the Central Statistical Office show that investments in the fourth quarter increased by 4.7%. y/y, private consumption increased by 4.2%. y/y, and domestic demand increased by 4.3%. rdr.
GDP growth by quarter
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Adam Ziemienowicz / PAP / photos
Among others Such data encourages those in power to announce a “year of acceleration”. Prime Minister Donald Tusk and Minister of Finance Andrzej Domański recently talked about it.
See also: This is how the data verify Donald Tusk's words. We say “I'm checking” to the Prime Minister
In previous years, economic growth was largely based on increased household consumption. In 2025, investments came to the fore, which (including thanks to KPO funds) grew by 4%, and according to the government's announcements, they are to achieve a double-digit growth rate in 2026.
The government's optimism is based on favorable data from the end of 2025. In the fourth quarter, the economy grew by 4%. and there are many indications that we will actually see an acceleration this year.
Virtually all major institutions are revising their forecasts upwards and are expecting development even faster than in the previous year. Bank economists have no hesitation in pointing to the level of 4%. as a reference point for the entire year 2026.
There are several reasons for optimism, but the biggest is the accumulation of EU funds that will reach Poland in 2026 (including under the KPO) and will be used by the end of this calendar year. Hence the projected increase in investments.
See also: Investment summit: 2026 will be marked by a record inflow of PLN 100 billion from the EU
