US intelligence assessed Iran's capabilities. This is how long it can survive a port blockage

According to US intelligence findings, Iran could sustain the US blockade of ports for another three or four months, and perhaps even longer if it manages to export oil by land (e.g. by rail or tankers). This contradicts the White House's statements about the impending collapse of the Iranian economy. According to a new CIA analysis, Iran still holds 70 percent. stocks of their rockets.
See also: Blockading Iranian ports does nothing. Tehran makes money anyway
US intelligence: Iran has 70 percent rockets
Currently, Iran stores some of its oil reserves on tankers that would otherwise sit empty. It is also reducing flows in its oil fields to ensure wells remain operational. — Iran's economic situation is not as dire as some say, one source told The Washington Post.
According to the CIA's findings, Iran's situation in terms of weapons stocks is also quite good. He still owns 70 percent. missiles and 75 percent mobile launchers. Earlier intelligence estimates were 50 percent, while statements by, among others, Pentagon chief Pete Hegseth indicated a much greater depletion of Iran's arsenal as a result of the war with the US.
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One of the American officials interviewed by “WP” said that in his opinion, Iran's ability to survive long-term economic difficulties is even greater than CIA estimates. “Leaders have become more radical, more determined and increasingly confident that they can weather U.S. policy decisions and endure domestic repression to stop any resistance in Iran,” the official said. — In comparison, similar regimes last for years under constant embargoes and wars waged solely with the use of air power, he added.
The CIA's assessments are at odds with public statements by Donald Trump and his administration officials, who in recent days have painted a dramatic picture of Iran's economy and military. Trump and Finance Secretary Scott Bessent have claimed that Iran is unable to pay its armed forces and that each day of blockade costs the regime about half a billion dollars.




