Trump has no mercy. It is tightening its grip on Cuba more and more. “Ready to fall into his hands”

Even before the attack on Iran, he said that this was his next goal. He later added that the way in which he would implement it would depend on the course of negotiations with the Cuban authorities and the outcome of the war in the Middle East.

Cuba on the verge of systemic collapse

Cuba's supplies were practically exhaustedwhich brought the entire island to the brink of systemic disaster.

— While achieving a historic transformation in Venezuela, we look forward to the great change that will soon take place in Cuba. Cuba is at the end of its strength. It really is at the end of the road. It has no money, no oil, a wrong ideology, a bad regime that has been bad for a long time. They want to negotiate, they are talking to Marco Rubio, to me and others. I believe that an agreement with Cuba would be very easy to achieve. Cuba is experiencing its last moments in its current form, said Donald Trump.

Proof of the seriousness of the situation, apart from fuel shortages, are increasingly frequent interruptions in the supply of electricity, water, the Internet and basic food products. Inflation in the country is rising, while the availability of medicines is decreasing. Public transport is practically non-functional and the streets are full of garbage. According to some sources, tropical diseases are also starting to spread in the country.

— If the energy company announces an even bigger deficit, what should I do? Who should I buy oil or gasoline from to run the generator? I can't do this. We have to endure the heat, sleep under mosquito nets and so on. Thank God we have gas, says Alba Mariana Lopez, a resident of Havana.

—We were all hot. We didn't know how long it would take to restore the power, but it was back within 24 hours. We are not sure whether the situation will get better or worse, considering how the energy system works, says Francisco Montana, owner of the Angel store.

– Badly. I really feel bad. I have no words to describe what I'm going through: heat, mosquitoes and no electricity. Food spoils. We have had no electricity for over 24 hours, says Miguel Leyva.

Scenarios for Cuba

However, the pressure that the Trump administration is currently exerting on Cuba may be decisive. Countries that have previously protected Havana are now struggling with their own problems, which the US is using to further increase the pressure.

— In the current situation, Cuba has the choice of following the path of North Korea and finding itself in complete isolation, or choosing the Vietnamese option, i.e. rule by the Communist Party with the presence of American capital and the abolition of single-partyism; or return to the state before 1959, i.e. become a semi-colony of the United States, says Vladan Alimpijević, a journalist of the NIN website.

A vintage car in Havana, March 28, 2025.SOPA Images/Contributor/Getty Images

The Cuban government accused the United States of trying to strangle the Cuban economy and making the living conditions of the people living on this Caribbean island unbearable. At the same time, those who left Cuba earlier and found refuge 150 km away, in Florida, are ready to invest huge amounts of money in their homeland – or at least many of them declare so.

— I don't think Cuba will actually be under military occupation. As Trump announces, it may be taken over in a friendly or hostile manner. (…) A friendly takeover would mean one thing: billions of dollars of investment and profits that would flow back through the canal to Florida, says Alimpijević.

Experts say minimal military force would be sufficient for a hostile takeover of Cuba. However, much will depend on the determination of the Cuban people, who have resisted the imperial grip for decades.

Will Raul Guillermo Rodriguez Castro, the former president's grandson who is said to be already in talks with US officials, resist this pressure like his ancestors or succumb to it? This may become clear soon.