How would Russia win without any kind of a fight a territory the size of Luxembourg, according to the plan proposed by Trump to Ukraine
Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump. Photo: The White House / Everett / Profimedia
Following the US plan for Ukraine, Russia could occupy without a fight an area almost equivalent to the size of Luxembourg, according to an analysis by the France Presse (AFP) agency based on data provided by the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and for which it collaborated with the Critical Threats Project (CTP).
The American plan consulted by AFP stipulates in particular the withdrawal of the Ukrainian army from the territories it still controls, which would lead to a net gain of approximately 2,300 km2 for Moscow, i.e. almost the area of Luxembourg (2,590 km2), without firing a single shot, notes Agerpres.
Kiev would thus have to give up nearly 5,000 km2 under its control in the Donetsk region (east), which would then be used to create a buffer zone, as well as a 45 km2 “pocket” in the Lugansk region (east). These concessions include the large cities of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, strongholds of the Ukrainian defense.
In return, Moscow would return to Ukraine nearly 2,000 km2 it claims or controls at least partially in Kharkiv Oblast (northeast), 450 km2 in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (center-east), 300 km2 in Sumy Oblast (northeast), and 20 km2 in Chernihiv Oblast (north).
Ukraine to abandon 20% of its territory to recover less than 0.5%
The document also provides for the recognition of Crimea, annexed by Moscow in 2014, and the Donetsk and Lugansk regions as belonging de facto to Russia.
It also credits Russia with vast territories it currently controls in the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions of southern Ukraine.
Finally, Washington's proposed plan would formalize Ukraine giving up 20 percent of its territory to recover less than 0.5 percent.
Since the beginning of November, the Russian army has advanced about 400 km2 into Ukrainian territory, at a faster pace than in September and October.
As of November 20, Russia controlled 19.3% of Ukrainian territory, either in whole or in part. About 7%, specifically Crimea and areas of Donbas, were already under Russian control before the start of the invasion launched in February 2022.
