0% chance of qualification after the first stage of the Champions League!

Ashley Davis19/09/2025

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Article by Romeo Ene – published on Friday, September 19, 2025, 08:39 / Updated on Friday, September 19, 2025 08:47

On Thursday night, the curtain was drawn over the first stage of the new edition of the main group of Champions League. The 18 matches have brought spectacular goals and phases, and Eintracht Frankfurt is the leader-surprise, after crushing Galatasaray with 5-1.

PSG and Club Brugge complete the podium, while Sporting Lisbon and Union Saint-Gilloise occupy places 4 and 5.

Bayern, Arsenal and Cristi Chivu's interul are the last bands in the Top 8, which ensure the qualification in the optimals of the competition.

But a team already has a 0% chances of qualification in the optimum! This is the Revelation of Kairat Almaty (Kazakhstan), which first qualified in history in the main group of the Champions League.

0% chances of qualifying in optimum for Kairat Almaty after the first stage of the main Champions League group

The statisticians of Football Meets Data have calculated the chances of the 36 teams to go in the elimination phase, and 0 appears next to Kairat Almaty.

The small band from Kazakhstan has traveled almost 7,000 kilometers for the first match in the league, the failure on the field of Sporting Lisbon, score 1-4.

And the team's program is announced hell, with matches against teams such as Real Madrid, Pafos, Inter, Copenhagen, Olympiakos, Club Brugge and Arsenal.

Arsenal is listed with an 88%chance of finishing on one of the first 8 places, Liverpool second (79%) and Barcelona (71%).

It was enough: 0% chance of qualification after the first stage of the Champions League!

The full ranking and champions of the Champions League. Photo: X @football Meets Date

Kairat Almaty has a 0% chance of catching the top 8, but keeps a 0.4% for the top 24 and, by default, the qualification in the play-off for finals.
Arsenal, Liverpool, Barcelona, Real Madrid, Manchester City, Inter, Bayern Munich and PSG are the teams seen by specialists as favorites in direct qualification in optimum after the first stage.
Teams such as Benfica of Mourinho, Galatasaray, PSV, Ajax or Marseille are considered to be favored in elimination. These percentages can be modified according to the results obtained in the following stages.