The expert warns against escalation in the Baltic and Atlantic. Russia and NATO on a collision course
“I say it completely privately, but we are on the road to war,” Clarke admitted, explaining that this does not mean that there will be a war. – But The path we follow – and which the Russians follow – leads towards a military confrontation He added.
– So when does NATO say “enough!”? I think that the most likely scenario assumes that this will happen when there is an incident in the Baltic Sea or in the North Atlantic, where the Royal Navy can be on the front line – explained the expert.
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As examples of such situations, he gave, among others An incident involving a submarine, cutting sea cables or caught in the act of the Russian ship that would try to illegally discharge oil or gas.
– We take such a tanker and pull him to the port. We send the crew home, and then we start legal proceedings regarding who, in fact, belongs to. He can stand in the European port for the next 10 years, rusting while we will try to explain it. In my opinion, we are quite close to this situation – said Clarke. At the same time, he added that until now Finland has taken such actions against one of the ships.
The Baltic States are most at risk
The British military expert assessed that after the Polish territory was violated by Russian drones, Allies can promise “strengthening air defense” and “adopting a definite political line, but this does not guarantee taking specific actions. He reminded that from the beginning of Russia's full -glass invasion of Ukraine there were numerous violations of the airspace of NATO countries.
Clarke emphasized that Baltic countries are currently exposed to the greatest threat from Russia. In addition to Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, he also mentioned Poland, Denmark and Finland.
