How can the war between Iran and Israel affect Ukraine?
▪️Increase in oil prices – on the hand of the Russian Federation. Iran's sanctions/blows = less oil in the market. This obviously allows the Russian Federation to earn more profits. Accordingly, more money for war.
▪️Shakhaneda may become less. It is no secret that Iran supplies the Russian Federation drones, ammunition, technology and serves as a logistics channel for bypassing sanctions. If Iran is seriously weakened or drawn into the war, the Russian Federation may lose one of its most important partners.
▪️Fatigue of the event from the war: The rhetoric “Why we give money here/here” can become more popular. It is the feeding of populism and extreme right movements that traditionally sympathize with the Russian Federation or isolationism.
▪️A decrease in attention to Ukraine. The event reorients resources to the Middle East, especially the United States. In addition, Ukraine ceases to be a priority in the news and political summons. It affects not only politics, but also donors, journalists, public opinion.
▪️Competition for weapons. Many of the systems needed by Israel are needed by Ukraine: missiles for air defense systems, high -precision weapons, drones, anti -diseases. Israel now has a greater priority because its conflict is “fresher” and is perceived as more critical.
Briefly summarized:
The probable war of Israel with Iran is a serious geopolitical concussion, and although Ukraine is not directly involved in it, it can be affected indirectly:
▪️Loss of focus, support, weapons.
▪️Strengthening of the Russian Federation through oil.
▪️But it is also a potential weakening of Iran as a partner of Moscow.
