Will the government coalition survive until the end of the term? This is the position of Poles [SONDAŻ]
Changes in the composition of the Council of Ministers are to be a response to the crisis in the ruling coalition, which deepened after losing Rafał Trzaskowski in the presidential election. The purpose of the reconstruction is to ensure the “new opening” for the current power camp.
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In the latest survey conducted by United Surveys commissioned by Wirtualna Polska, respondents expressed mixed opinions on the durability of the current coalition.
Will the coalition survive until the end of the term? Here's what Poles think
The results show that society is almost evenly divided – 54.3 percent respondents believe that the ruling formation will survive until the end of the current term (increase from 48.2 percent in June), while 39.6 percent. is the opposite of the opinion (increase from 31.6 percent).
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Interestingly, the number of people definitely convinced of the durability of the coalition has dropped. Only 10.3 percent respondents answered “definitely yes”, which means a 5.2 percentage point compared to June. In turn, support for the answer “rather yes” – from 32.7 percent increased clearly. up to 44 percent
Slightly less respondents than a month ago believe that the coalition will fall apart. The answer “rather not” indicated 26.9 percent. (earlier 20.1 percent), and “definitely not” – 12.7 percent (increase from 11.5 percent).
The number of undecided decreased – only 6.1 percent. respondents answered “I don't know/difficult to say” while in June there were as many as 20.2 percent.
Who most often predicts the fall of the coalition and the government of Donald Tusk?
Coalition stability assessments vary depending on the political preferences of respondents. Among the voters of the ruling party as much as 83 percent He believes in the survival of the coalition (in June – 75 percent). 22 percent are definitely convinced, and 61 percent He answers “rather yes”. Only 9 percent Voters of the power camp believes that the coalition will fall apart.
Opposition supporters see the matter completely differently. Among the supporters of PiS and the Confederation, more than half (59 percent) do not believe in the survival of the current ruling system. Only 35 percent It expressed optimism in this matter – and most of them chose the answer “I rather agree”, and only 4 percent. He was definitely convinced.
The most divided group were undecided or voters from outside the main camps. Half of them believe that the coalition will survive until 2027, and 44 percent is the opposite. Only 6 percent This group had no opinion – this is a significant decrease in relation to June, when as much as 48 percent. respondents declared a lack of unequivocal opinion.
The results of the study were collected on July 11-13, 2025 by United Surveys at a representative sample of 1000 adult Poles. The survey confirms that the future of the current coalition remains uncertain, and the upcoming reconstruction may prove to be crucial for the fate of the government.
