The war on our eastern border raises justified fears, and at the same time is an excuse for various types of analyzes. Bank Gospodarstwa Krajowego has prepared a report in which the role of local governments was focused on building immunity, understood as preparation for the crisis and the ability to react and reconstruction.
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According to the report 15.7 million Poles live in cities and villages that have achieved an above -average level of resistance to threat. The largest group of people (6.7 million) living in local governments resistant to crisis are residents of 23 cities with poviat rights, and 3.7 million are people living in small rural communes throughout Poland.
According to the report, 107 local governments reached the “above -average immunity” to all four threats: health, natural, humanitarian and military. Mainly these are small units scattered all over the country, and the largest is Nowy Sącz (Lesser Poland Voivodeship). 1.1 million people live in them – the authors added.
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The authors of the analysis, however, noted that The level of local government exposure to individual threats is largely determined by the factors on which local communities do not have a significant impact on – Location, terrain, demographics. “
“For example, municipalities located around the so -called Suwałki isthmus are relatively strongly threatened with hostile armed activities, this region is even recognized as one of the most inflammatory points in all of Europe” – indicated in the BGK report.
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Local governments resistance – as the authors of the report explained – is defined as a level of preparation for the crisis, reaction ability and the ability to rebuild. Resistance is considered in relation to four threats, which are: natural defeats (e.g. floods, heat, drought), health disasters (various epidemics), humanitarian defeats (primarily an uncontrolled influx of population from third countries) and military threats (Not only war, but also various hybrid activities, information war and cyberrataki).
Simultaneously A level of threat has been calculated for each local government, which is to measure the degree of its exposure to the crises of a specific type and general indexes. Indexes for poviats and voivodships were determined on the basis of values counted for municipalities and cities on the rights of poviat weighted the number of people of individual units.
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Broken down into regions, local governments in the province Mazowieckie are characterized by relatively high and wide resistance – two -thirds (66.6 percent) of municipalities and cities with poviat rights in this voivodship reached a level exceeding the average in the case of all four indexes of resistance at once.
At the opposite pole is the province. Warmian-Masurian Voivodeship, where 77.6 percent municipalities and cities had resistance below the nationwide average for all four threats at the same time. However, it was noted that this voivodship, however, does not belong to the most endangered regions, which “to some extent can translate and justify relatively low values of immunity indexes”.
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The BGK report indicated that Nearly 1.3 million Poles live in local governments above average threatened with all risk categoriesthese are 169 local governments mainly in the province. Lublin, Podlasie and Mazowiecki. In turn, 3.9 million Poles live in the least endangered local governments, and the most are in the province. Greater Poland.
The authors of the report also indicated threatened cities, which were included in the context of military danger resulting from the war in Ukraine. It was noticed that wealthy cities are relatively at risk and the great economic importance, which features can also decide on their resistance.
72.9 percent live in such relatively threatened cities. population of all cities with poviat rights, and 54.3 percent He lives in 22 local governments, which are relatively resistant. These are large cities, e.g. Warsaw, Kraków, Wrocław as well as smaller centers such as Krosno and Ostrołęka.
The highest level of threat – in the BGK assessment – they have Warsaw and Gdańsk, because they lie relatively near the border and are of key importance for the country's economy and political stability.
