Expert: The moment of the attack on Iran resulted from the strategic calculation of Netanyahu

Expert Julia Tomasso from the French Think Tank Iris estimates that choosing the moment of the attack on Iran resulted from the strategic calculation of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu related to Iran's weakening in the region, a point that reached the Iranian nuclear program, as well as Israeli internal policy.

In an interview with PAP, an expert of the Institute of International and Strategic Relations (IRIS) in Paris pointed out that Israel's military offensive seriously weakens the dynamics of negotiations between the USA and Tehran on the Iranian nuclear program.

“Why is Israel hit now? For Tel Aviv, Iran was never weakened on a regional level, deprived of many of his intermediaries,” like Libanese Hezbollah, Palestinian Hamas or the regime of the Bashar El -Assad in Syria, “said Tomasso. “Tehran is therefore in the period when his ability to inflict damage is weakening. This is an opportunity that Tel Aviv considers appropriate to the task of decisive blow and stop the Iranian threat,” the expert emphasized.

Secondly, she added, “according to Netanyahu, Iran reached the development of nuclear weapons to the point from which there is no turning back. The blow is now an attempt to inhibit it. So this is a strategic calculation from the Prime Minister of Israel.”

However, in the internal context, according to the expert, the Israeli offensive “is legitimized by the alliance (Netanyahu) with the extreme right and contains the ranks of his coalition. Maintaining the war in gas, just like that with Iran, serves his political agenda. Thanks to the war, he stays in power in a sense,” said Tomasso.

She stated that the exact scale of the damage caused by the Iranian nuclear infrastructure is not yet known. “Underground installations of the object in Natanz were to suffer, which is one of the pillars of the Iranian nuclear program. However, it is difficult to determine to what extent the damage will affect the durability of the Iranian nuclear program,” she said.

She emphasized that “the goal of the Israeli offensive were key people” and six scientists, nuclear specialists, were killed. “He was seriously injured (Ali Szamkani -Pap), adviser to the Supreme Leader of Iran (Ali Chameneia). The commander of the Islamic Revolution (IRGC) Hosyjn Salami, as well as the high -ranking IRGC Golam Golam, as well as the head of the General Staff of Mohammad Bagheri, was killed. Analytician.

When asked about the possible influence of European countries on the further development of the situation, she assessed that “there are no major changes” on the side of these countries. She reminded that French President Emmanuel Macron convened a council of defense and national security on Friday and talked to the Prime Minister of Israel. “The European Union has made a firm call to +restraint +, believing that only diplomatic initiatives will avoid escalation about serious effects on the region. Many Member States share this concern, emphasizing that they are not able to give military influence,” the expert said.

Tomasso is an expert of the “Defense and security in the Middle East” program in Iris.

From Paris Anna Wróbel (PAP)

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