2025-06-01 23:09
publication
2025-06-01 23:09
Karol Nawrocki won 50.7 percent votes, and Rafał Trzaskowski 49.3 percent In the second round of presidential elections – according to the late Poll survey performed by Ipsos for TVP, Polsat and TVN.
50.3 for Rafał Trzaskowski, 49.7 for Karol Nawrocki – these were the earlier survey of the presidential election according to Exit Poll conducted by the Ipsos studio. The difference was 0.6 percent.
The difference in the result of the candidates in the late Poll poll is 1.4 percentage points. The statistical error in this study, according to Ipsos, is 1 percentage point.
Let's not lose hope for this night; I believe that we will all wake up with our President Karol Nawrocki tomorrow morning; We will not allow Donald Tusk's power to close – said PiS presidential candidate Karol Nawrocki, supported by PiS after the announcement of the election results.
Prof. Maria Wincławska, who commented on the results of Exit Poll after 21:00, points out that “in the course of flowing the results from individual committees at night may be the moment when Nawrocki will lead. Then there will be a broke of joy in the staff and among his supporters. In the morning, when the results from larger voting circuits begin to flow, this may change again. Of course, this is covered by a reservation of a possible spirit, which It is 2 percentage points in the Exit Poll study and 1 point in the latee Poll study, and this is still more than the difference between candidates from 21.00 ” – said the expert.
If the poll results are confirmed, it will be the most balanced second round of presidential elections in Poland.
After 1990, the smallest difference between the two opponents was in 2020. Andrzej Duda in the second round was then 51.03 percent, and Rafał Trzaskowski 48.97 percent. The difference was 2.06 percentage points 10,440,648 citizens voted for Duda, and 10 018 263 on Trzaskowskiego. 422 385 votes determined the victory of Duda. According to the first late Poll poll, prepared by Ipsos, Duda won 50.8 percent. votes, and Trzaskowski 49.2 percent The difference was therefore estimated at 1.6 percentage points.
Signed in the SPDUDER LATE Poll attendance 71.7 percent is slightly lower than according to Exit Poll (72.8 percent) It would be the highest attendance in the presidential election in Poland since 1990. (five years ago it amounted to 68.18 percent). In total, the higher turnout was only in the parliamentary elections in 2023, when 74.38 percent took part in the vote. voters.
Late Poll is based on official results from 50 percent. randomly selected voting circuits in which Ipsos conducted the examination. On the post -election night you can expect another IPSOS survey that will include data from 90 percent. circuits. After the first round of elections, around 2.30 appeared, this time television stations announce that it will be about 1 at night. The estimation error will decrease to 0.5 percentage points.
In the first round of elections, Trzaskowski won 31.36 percent. votes, and Nawrocki 29.54 percent The turnout was 67.31 percent
ed. KWS based on PAP
