Trzaskowski or Nawrocki? Minimum difference just before the second round of presidential elections
Today, the penultimate day of the presidential election campaign, during which both candidates will convince voters throughout Poland.
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Yesterday was marked by the meeting of Rafał Trzaskowski in Kalisz, where the candidate KO initiated the so -called Speed dating, or short talks with voters, while Karol Nawrocki participated in the presidential debate in Końskie, organized by Telewizja Republika.
The dynamics of the campaign also accelerated due to the declaration of the former confederation candidate Sławomir Mentzen, who announced that he did not intend to support any of the candidates in the second round. However, as he noted, “he sees no reason to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski” and that he has a problem with Karol Nawrocki's credibility regarding the purchase of a Gdańsk studio.
All this event translates into a very even fight on the last simple campaign before the Sunday second round of presidential elections.
The difference in statistical error just before the second round of elections
According to the latest Ibris survey at the request of Onet Ko Rafał Trzaskowski's candidate may have 47.7 percent votes.
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PiS candidate Karol Nawrocki received support from 46 percent. respondents.
The answer “I don't know/difficult to say” gave 6.3 percent. respondents.
This means that the difference between candidates is within the boundaries of a statistical error, which in this type of study is about 3 percentage points.
The IBRIS study at the request of Onet was carried out on May 26-28, 2025 by telephone, standardized computer-assisted questionnaire interviews (CATI) at a research sample of 1090 adult Poles.
