As we read in the analysis, in 17 monitored product categories as many as 16 recorded a increase in prices, and only one scored a decrease. INAmong the leaders in increases, there were once again fat products, with a 14.8 percent increase in prices. year on year. The top five more expensive categories also included: fruit (12.4 percent), stimulants (9.8 percent), sweets and desserts (8.5 %) and dairy (7.8 percent). The only segment that recorded the inheritance was animal food, whose prices decreased by 2.8 percent.
According to the report In April, the overall increase in daily purchases – including food, drinks and chemical products and for children – It was the lowest since January this year. In February, growth dynamics was 5.8 percent, and in January 5.9 percent. year on year. Experts, however, emphasize that delays in the implementation of higher production costs still exert pressure on price increases.
Dr. Tomasz Kopyściański from the University of WSB Merito notes that The decrease in price growth dynamics includes The effect of decreasing consumer demand, which is reflected in poor data on retail sales in Poland. He predicts that in the following months the dynamics may drop to 4-4.5 percent. year to year, but there is nothing to set for reductions. – price increases are constantly taking place. This is an inevitable consequence of labor and production costs, rents and energy consumption constantly growing in our economy. This is reflected in prices – he adds.
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In turn, UCE Research analysts pay attention to significant promotional activity in stores before Easter, noting that the number of promotions increased in March and April almost double -digit. However, Dr. Robert Orpych from the University of WSB Merito warns that “promotions have their limitations” and a slowdown in marketing activity may be inevitable in the following months. At the same time, it emphasizes the importance of balancing by retail chains between attracting customers and maintaining profitability.
What and how is it more expensive?
In the first position in the ranking of the parsley again (like a month and two months ago) there were art. fat (butter, margarine, oil, etc.) with an average height of yards. by 14.8 percent (in March – by 16.6 percent). It should be noted that the April reading indicates a decrease in growth dynamics. It is also worth noting that the butter itself is still yielding. It is more expensive and it is further two -digit. It was the same in April.
– Butter remains the main driving force of growth. The market struggles with limited supply of milk in Europe, a decrease in dairy population and growing costs of maintaining herds. Manufacturers are still struggling with high feed and energy costs that increase production costs throughout the entire supply chain. Manufacturers transfer them to consumers – notes Dr. Robert Orpych.
The second place in the table was taken (as in March) fruit with an average increase in yards. by 12.4 percent (in March – by 13.6 percent yaws). – The key are supply problems, which are a consequence of weak national collections last year. The situation of imported fruits looks little better. Climate change and diseases that destroy a number of citrus crops in various parts of the world significantly translate into high fruit prices in retail stores – notes Dr. Tomasz Kopyściański.
This time there are stimulants (coffee, tea, alcohol, etc.) with a 9.8 percent increase. rdr. (in March an increase of 2.8 percent yaws and one of the lowest places in the table). – We are dealing with the accumulation of postponed increases. Manufacturers and distributors could refrain from raising prices earlier to introduce larger corrections in April. The coffee market was struggling with considerable challenges in the field of supply for a long time. In the case of alcohols, it is possible to change the producers' price policy – explains Dr. Robert Orpych from WSB Merito.
In fourth place (just like in March) there are sweets and desserts, which increased by 8.5 percent. rdr. (in March – by 11.3 percent yaws). – This category is at the forefront of the ranking due to very expensive cocoa. However, the dynamics of price growth in this segment, compared to previous months, gradually slow down, mainly due to the decreases of sugar prices on world stock exchanges – about 20 percent. From the beginning of 2025 – emphasizes Dr. Tomasz Kopyściański.
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The top five of the path closes (as well as a month earlier) dairy products with an average increase of 7.8 percent. rdr. (in March it was 10.9 percent yaws). – The reason is the structural restrictions on the milk supply, and the persistent high prices of butter additionally drive the demand for this raw material. Although the seasonal increases in milk production in the spring were slightly softened by price increases in this category, but the dairy market is in the uncertainty phase due to new threats, e.g. the risk of spreading the epidemic of pimples in breeding cows in Hungary – adds Dr. Tomasz Kopyściański from the University of WSB Merito.
On the downside of animal food
Further in the ranking are categories such as: fish, meat, bread and sausages with yards. 7.6 percent respectively (previously – by 5.8 percent), 7.2 percent (5.6 percent), 6.7 percent (7.1 percent) and 6.2 percent (earlier 5.5 percent).
Behind them there are vegetables with a yield of yard. at 4.3 percent (in March – 8.6 percent), art. For children – 3.2 percent (2.5 percent), as well as food additives (e.g. ketchups, mayonnaise and mustard) – 3.1 percent (previously 1.1 percent).
At the end of the table, you can see loose products (sugar, flour, salt, etc.) with a increase in yard. by 2.9 percent (a month earlier there was a negative result -1.2 percent), economic chemistry -2.7 percent (previously an increase of 1.2 percent), personal hygiene means – 1.9 percent (5.8 percent), as well as non -alcoholic drinks – 1.4 percent (in March it was 12.9 percent).
– The main determinant of increases in the case of meat and sausages are the growing costs of breeding. The formation of bread prices is determined by the costs of raw materials and production and pressure on increases. Noteworthy is the low dynamics of vegetable prices, which can be the result of stabilization at winter price peaks. Equally interesting is the reading in the field of non -alcoholic beverages, because we are dealing with the most spectacular braking, which may, in turn, be the effect of market saturation with increases – emphasizes Dr. Robert Orpych.
Only animal food in April with a result of -2.8 percent was in April. rdr. (in March – 3.3 percent on the plus of yard). – This is where the effect of a high base from the first half of 2024 plays a key role.when for many months of karma were leaders of the ranking of the expensive. In addition, the slowdown in prices is influenced by stabilizing meat prices and its derivatives, which are ingredients of karma – sums up Dr. Tomasz Kopyściański from the University of WSB Merito.
