Ukraine demands a 30-day arms suspension. Or “will change the Russian economy into the desert”

The advertisement was in Kiev after the talks of President Volodymyr Zelanski with French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Prime Minister of Great Britain Keir Starmer and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk. Five leaders then joined – In unplanned mode – with Donald Trump, who, according to the participants' accounts, “warmly supported” the proposal.
Zelanski emphasized that all allies have an absolutely clear and unanimous position and that the possible violations of the truce “will answer a coordinated packet of sanctions”.
Over 20 other leaders participated in the meeting under the banner of the “Coalitions of Volunteers”. As noted by the Secretary General of NATO, Mark Rutte, This is to strengthen political pressure to Russia.
Russia got a clear proposal
Macron announced that the European-American restriction package will be announced immediately if Russia “does not show readiness for peace.”
In turn, Starmer warned that London and President Trump It will increase military assistance for the defense of Ukraine to force Moscow to return to the table.
Washington simultaneously stiffens the position. Vice President JD Vance admitted that the existing Russian conditions “demanded too much” and called them a brake of conversations. At the Capitol, Senator Lindsey Graham, Trump's close ally, has already gathered over 70 senators under the Sanctioning Russia Act, which In the event of a fiast truce, the so -called crushing secondary sanctions-including 500 % Dutch to you buying Russian energy raw materials.
The Kremlin reacts dismissively for now. The spokesman for Dmitry Pieskov described European threats as confrontational and stated that no truce “can be talked about without taking into account the Russian nuances.”
The day before, Vladimir Putin during the parade on the 80th anniversary of the victory over the Third Reich argued that the Russian nation “always wins thanks to the power of the spirit”, without giving a signal to be concessioned.
Settlement behind closed doors
There is a discussion in the background about the shape of a possible settlement. Diplomatic sources in Washington report that Trump's team is considering freezing the conflict along the current front line, recognition of Crimea's annexation and the resignation of Kiev from aspiration to NATO in exchange for “strong security guarantees”.
For Ukraine, which demands the full withdrawal of Russian troops, such proposals are difficult to accept, but The 30-day suspension of the weapon is to give time for the elimination of a minimal common denominator.
The upcoming term of the truce is therefore a test of the sincerity of Russia's intentions and the determination of the West. If it works silently on Monday, diplomats will have a month to build a durable room plan. And if they are not silent, a new wave of sanctions will fall on the Kremlin and his partners, whose scale – As the authors of the American project announce – “will change the Russian economy into the desert.”
The rate of these 30 days is the highest since the beginning of the war. This is perhaps the last chance to translate the fatigue of both societies with a conflict into a real peace process before the next offensive scolds the political window of possibilities.