- Russian offensive activities in Ukraine are undecided and their progress is limited to several kilometers
- The key to Moscow is to master the Lugansk and Donetsk circuits, but some of the areas are still under the control of Ukraine
- Fierce fights are underway in the region of Zaporozhye and time, but the Russians are moving slowly and suffer losses
- Russia is planning subsequent stages of the offensive in summer and autumn, but the success depends on the collection of resources and recruitment of 160 thousand. soldiers
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Mariia Tsiptsura, Onet: A lot is said in the media that Russia has started the offensive in the Sumski and Kharkiv. What is the current situation?
Igor Romanenko: The situation on the fronts escalated to the stage of large -scale offensive activities, but they are undecided. The Russian Federation has no strength now to take decisive actions. For example, in the field of Pokrowski, which is so important for the enemy, activation is underway. The forces are now transferred from the Kurski District, where the Russians managed to displace the Ukrainian troops. The enemy also managed to enter the territory of the summary region. But the Ukrainian armed forces organized an asymmetrical coating in the Belgorodu region, where the Ukrainian troops took control of several settlements. Actions are carried out there, which the head of Ukraine's defense intelligence said a year ago. At that time, the interview reported that the enemy had two offensive plans in the Kharkov region and and Kurski.
After these statements, Russia began an offensive in the Kharkiv region. But they went through no more than 10 km and stopped. Of course, they control Wołczańsk, but they can't go further, although they are trying to fight. They also cannot go through Lipt to Kharkov. The enemy, however, became more active near Kupiańska. The railway is very important to them. And if you look south, the enemy tries to create half -rings there. To this end, he occupies a foothill on the right bank of the rivers near Kupiańska and further south.
“Putin's Putin window can close”
What is the situation in the Lugansk and Donetsk circuits?
Part of the Lugansk District remains under the control of Ukraine. We must remember that Putin also added him to his constitution. The enemy managed to occupy 90 percent. Lugansk region, but part of it remains under the control of Ukraine. In the direction of Pokrowski [obwód doniecki] The enemy is trying to cut off logistics trails. A month ago a new commander came there, Gen. Drapaty. He organized counterattacks, stopped the enemy's attack and stabilized the situation. The enemy did not succeed there. And the Putin's possibilities window can close, as long as he can still be forced to hang the weapon.
It is approaching on May 9, until then Russia would like to summarize the results of the so -called military operation and inform about her successes. And because the Russians are not able to quickly rub on Pokrowsk, they move to the west, where they conquered Kurachowe. Fierce fights are still ongoing near Konstantinówka, on the road towards the administrative border with the Dneprop “district. The Russians wanted to get there to show that they were fighting there too.
The next inflammatory point is the Kersoan region. What is the situation?
In the Kersoan region, the enemy tries to capture the abutment, but the high right bank is still under our control. Conducting surgery there is very difficult. However, the Ukrainian armed forces pushed the enemy in the Zaporozhye area. They are more successful in the time sector of Jar, they try to create a cauldron there. However, these are only plans, the enemy moves slowly. There are urbanized fights there, and it is always very difficult. The parties suffer losses, especially the advancing page – that's why he tries to bypass time Jar. In general, the whole situation shows that this stage of the war on a large scale is not as violent as the Russians would like. The enemy of course plans the next stages of the offensive in summer and autumn. But everything will depend on the results of the first stage, as well as how effectively they can collect resources. Their plan assumes collecting 160,000 people. We see that they collect soldiers from around the world, such as Koreans or Chinese.
How intensive is the warfare in the summary region?
The offensive is already underway, but I do not see the possibility of a large -scale attack. A group of over 60,000 was formed in the Kurski District. people, which include elite units: sea infantry, paratroopers and others. They also use the FPV drone department supported by optical fibers – our electronic combat systems had no influence on them. For this reason, they actually limited the logistic support of our grouping in the Kurska region to a minimum, so we had to withdraw our troops. Now the enemy is moving many of these troops towards Pokrowska. In the summary circuit, the enemy has already won several settlements, it will certainly try to displace our forces from the Belgorodz region and go deep into the summit.
A chance to suspend weapons. “Four regions”
Do you think that a weapon suspension is possible for a certain period?
I think so. Putin wants to organize the parade on May 9, and this can be a military goal for us. After all, the equipment will be collected in one place. Last year we did not carry out such attacks, but Putin does not stop in attacks on our cities. A crooked corner, sums … After that Ukraine can decide differently. And Putin understands that the Crimean Bridge or St. Petersburg with a parade can become our goals.
You mentioned that one of the stages of the offensive is currently underway. Then we can expect summer and autumn offensive. What is the global goal of Russia, in addition to the occupation of the Lugansk and Donetsk region?
Four regions. The Russians believe that since they entered them in the constitution, we should give them to them, which of course the Ukrainians will not do. We will continue to fight. We must do everything in our power to increase the potential of the Ukrainian armed forces in a fierce fight against the enemy.
