In the latest presidential survey conducted after the debates in Końskie, the first three remain unchanged. Rafał Trzaskowski is run with a result of 30.8 percent The KO candidate, however, records a serious decline in support compared to the March survey (36.4 percent). This is 5.6 percentage points
Karol Nawrocki remains in second place, unchanged. PiS candidate in the IBRIS poll for Polsat News won 25.6 percent. votes. A month ago, he could count on support at 25.9 percent, and thus persists at a stable level.
Sławomir Mentzen's support from the confederation has also dropped a lot – it has 12.4 percent. A month earlier he won 18.1 percent votes, Therefore, it loses 5.7 percentage points support.
Many candidates from outside the top three were increasing. Szymon Hołownia (6.6 percent, increase by 1.2 percentage points), then Magdalena Biejat (5.6 percent, increase by 3 percentage points), Adrian Zandberg (3.6 percent, increase of 1.1 percentage points), Krzysztof Stanowski (1.3 percent, decrease by 0.9 percentage point), Grzegorz Braun (1,3 percent, an increase of 0.8 percentage points), Marek Jakubiak (1.2 percent, increase by 0.3 percentage points), Joanna Senyszyn (1 percent) and Artur Bartoszewicz (0.4 percent).
Who will win in the second round?
Ibris also checked the results for the second round of presidential elections. If Rafał Trzaskowski's clash with Karol Nawrocki took place, The KO candidate would win with a 48.1 percent vote up to 20.9 percent votes.
The President of Warsaw would also win with Sławomir Mentzen. In this scenario, voices are distributed by a ratio of 48.6 percent. up to 34 percent in favor of Rafał Trzaskowski.
List of presidential candidates 2025
The National Electoral Commission has registered the following candidates:
The full and current list of registered candidates is available on the website State Electoral Commission.
The presidential election will take place on May 18. Any second round will be carried out on June 1.
The study was carried out using the telephone, standardized computer -assisted questionnaire interviews (CATI) on April 16 to 17, 2025 at the sample of adult Polish residents (n = 1000).
