50 percent Rafał Trzaskowski's supporters are declared as a left; 30 percent It has central views – according to the CBOS study. In turn, among the electorates of Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir Mentzen – according to the survey – people with right -wing views prevail (87 and 68 percent, respectively).
The CBOS study indicates current support for candidates in individual demographic and social groups.
The study shows, among others, that the majority of the electorate of the KO candidate for President Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki, supported by PiS, are women (58 % and 55 % of their electorates, respectively). In the case of the confederation candidate Sławomir Mentzen, most of his electorate – 66 percent – It's men.
As noted by CBOS, in terms of the age of supporters of individual candidates, of the three largest electorates, the structure of age closest to the structure of all adults of Poles has a group of Trzaskowski voters; A total of 57 percent declares support for the KO candidate. people over 55 years old. Clearly the oldest – according to the study – is Nawrocki's electorate – a total of 69 percent. His voters are at least 55 years old, while 46 percent They are people aged at least 65. In the group of supporters of Sławomir Mentzen, young voters predominate – 16 percent. Its electorate is people aged 18-24, and 29 percent They are people aged 25-34.
Trzaskowski unpopular in the countryside
In the group of supporters of Rafał Trzaskowski, compared to the electorate of Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir Mentzen, relatively the least people live in the countryside (33 percent). 32 percent Electorate Candidate KO is constituted by people living in a city over 100,000 residents, and 15 percent He lives in cities where at least half a million people live.
In turn, when it comes to Nawrocki and Mentzen electorates, 46 percent each From their supporters they are people living in the countryside. In the case of city residents – as CBOS notes – “supporters of Karol Nawrocki come more often from the smallest (up to 19,999 inhabitants) (18 percent of supporters – PAP), while among the supporters of Sławomir Mentzen there are clearly more residents of cities with at least 100,000 inhabitants (16 % – PAP).”
How about education?
The CBOS study also shows that “out of the three largest electorates, the structure of education closest to the structure of all adult Poles has a group of voters Sławomir Mentzen.” In Rafał Trzaskowski's electorate, compared to the electorates of Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir Mentzen, there are the least people with basic professional education (15 %); The largest part of his supporters – 40 percent – They are people with higher education. In turn, the largest group in the candidate of the PiS candidate are people with basic professional education (39 percent).
“The professional activity of Rafał Trzaskowski's voters is similar to the total adult Poles: most of them (58 percent) are working people, and 42 percent – inactive. Differences in the structure of the age of the other two largest electorates are reflected in their professional activity. Over four -five (81 percent) supporters of Sławomir Mentzen are professionally active people, including On the other hand, most (61 percent) of Karol Nawrocki voters are non -working persons, while they are dominated by passive persons professionally (59 percent), i.e. mainly retirees and pensioners ” – indicates the survey.
Are we voting with a wallet?
According to the CBOS study, the average property status of Karol Nawrocki voters is worse than voters of Rafał Trzaskowski and Sławomir Mentzen ” – 58 percent. His supporters are people declaring monthly net income of a maximum of PLN 3,999. On the Sławomir Mentzen and Rafał Trzaskowski electorate, however, the largest group are – according to the study – people with declared income of at least PLN 7,000 net (30 % and 27 %, respectively).
As for interest in politics, 24 percent Nawrocki's supporters are declared by “very large”, 29 percent – large, 42 percent – average, and 5 percent – “small/none”. As for people who want to vote for Trzaskowski, “very large” interest in politics was declared by 16 percent. of them, large – 43 percent, average – 36 percent, and “small/none” – 5 percent In turn, among the supporters of Mentzen 11 percent It shows “very great interest” in politics, 33 percent – “large”, 49 percent – average, 8 percent – small or none. As noted by CBOS, it was in the group of supporters of the conference candidate that the most answers were given in which small or any interest in politics was declared.
Half of Trzaskowski supporters identifies with the left
As for political affiliation, 50 percent supporters of Rafał Trzaskowski identify with the left; 30 percent – from the center; 17 percent – with the right, and 3 percent There is no opinion. In turn, in Nawrocki and Mentzen electorates – according to the study – most people are people with right -wing views (87 % and 68 %, respectively). Among the supporters of Nawrocki, 3 percent identifies with the left, 6 percent- with the center, and 4 percent There is no opinion. In the Mentzen electorate, however, 9 percent defined as a left, 20 percent – as a center, and 3 percent There is no opinion.
Iron majority of Karol Nawrocki electorate – 90 percent – They are people who in the last parliamentary elections voted for KW Law and Justice letters. 64 percent Supporters of the KO candidate were voted for the letters of the KKW Civic Coalition after .n Ipl Zieloni; 14 percent He voted for candidates from the KW Nowa Left list. Only 24 percent people declaring voting for Sławomir Mentzen voted in the last parliamentary elections for KW candidates, confederation of freedom and independence.
According to CBOS, “voters of Karol Nawrocki are characterized by the largest declared frequency of religious practices – two -thirds among them (67 percent) participate in religious practices at least once a week, and only 7 percent declare that he does not participate in them at all.” The study also shows that 42 percent supporters of Rafał Trzaskowski do not participate in religious practices. In turn, the electorate of Sławomir Mentzen is varied in this respect: 23 percent He participates in religious practices once a week, and 28 percent He does not participate in them at all.
The study was based on two CBOS research from March: “News” study by the method of computer -assisted telephone interviews (Cati – 90.8 percent) and internet interviews (CAWI – 9.2 percent) in the period of March 3-6, 2025 at the sample of 1000 adult residents of Poland and “Presidential elections” by the method of computer -assisted telephone interviews (Cati – 87.5 (Cati – 87.5 percent) and online interviews (CAWI – 12.5 percent) in the period of March 17-20, 2025 at a sample of 1003 adult Polish residents. (PAP)
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