The estimated rate of unemployment registered in June 2025 was 5.1 percent. compared to 5 percent month earlier – the Ministry of Family, Labor and Social Policy said in the announcement.
This is double negative data. Firstly, A few months inheritance series was interrupted. From the beginning of the year, when the unemployment rate was 5.4 percent, the indicators have improved.
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Macronext
Secondly, one can talk about a negative surprise, because economists expected a completely opposite direction of change.
Economists surveyed by PAP estimated that in June the unemployment rate dropped to 4.9 percent.
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According to preliminary data of the labor department at the end of June 2025, 797 thousand were registered in the labor offices. unemployed. It is 14.2 thousand people (1.8 percent) more than at the end of May and by 34.8 thousand people (4.6 percent) more than a year earlier.
NBP report and unemployment forecast
The latest data of the labor department is disturbing, but it does not promise that the labor market in Poland worsens. What's more, there are still very good forecasts. NBP divided it on Friday.
“In the coming quarters there will be a slight decrease in the unemployment rate resulting from the labor market spread during the response to the expected acceleration of domestic GDP dynamics ” – we read in the development of the bank.
The creators of the report indicate that this is reflected in the results of the research of enterprises, which He plans to increase the greater percentage than reduce employment in the horizon of the year.
“In 2027, the unemployment rate will increase again Following the slowdown of the economic growth. The scale of this growth, however, will be limited by demographic processes that reduce the number of people of working age, “indicates the bank.
