Among the experts who expect Russian aggression, is Fabian Hoffmann, who conducts research on the European and transatlantic defense policy at the University of Oslo. In an article published on foreignpolica.com, he warns: “Several NATO intelligence services stated that Russia not only complement huge losses in people and equipment incurred in Ukraine, but also accumulates weapons, increases the overall number of armed forces and modernizes and expands military infrastructure near the eastern border of NATO.”
It is likely – though not certain – that the Russian president will wait with an attack until the end of the war in Ukraine. “He can also decide on previous actions,” says Hoffmann.
Poor points: Suwałki and Svalbard
Gabrielius Landsbergis, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Lithuania until 2024, has a specific attack scenario in his head: The Russian train stops in the Suwałki corridor allegedly due to a failure. Russian policemen and later soldiers enter Lithuania to “help” Russian passengers on the territory of the enemy. “Suddenly part of Lithuania is outside the country's control” – writes a politician at foreignpolicy.com.
There are also other scenarios: Russia escalates tensions around the Norwegian Svalbard archipelago, making historical claims to it and provoking, for example by displaying flags. It is also possible to stimulate large Russian minorities in other countries.
Strengthening the front in the east
According to Hoffmann, European NATO countries must reorganize as part of the three -point program:
Support for Ukraine: As long as Russia is forced to allocate most of its resources for this war, the attack on subsequent territories will be much more difficult.
Front strengthening: The most effective defense is the blockade of border crossings. Therefore, it is necessary to significantly increase the number of soldiers at the borders with Russia.
Intensification of deterrent: NATO must invest in a reliable ability to counterattack and make it clear that every rocket attack will be repaid with the same coin. In addition, you should give a signal that nuclear escalation is not strived, but the use of nuclear weapons is not excluded.
“We're all now on an eastern flank.” Mark Rutte calls NATO to act. He calculated that Russia needs five years
In addition to traditional technologies, such as aircraft, tanks, underwater systems and long -range attack systems, there are also new technologies such as drones, weapon systems based on satellites and the development of artificial intelligence.
Continuation of the material under the video
Perseverance counts
However, shopping is not everything. Franz-Stefan Gady, an analyst at the International Institute of Strategic Studies in London, writes: “The real challenge is that Europe does not have the key abilities necessary to integrate and maintain long-term combat operations.” For example, they include diagnosis, supervision, the possibility of precise attacks on sensitive goals, long -range air defense systems and solid command and communication infrastructure.
During the NATO summit in Hague (June 24-25), the British government announced the purchase of at least twelve F-35A fighters in a version capable of dropping atomic bombs. The German Ministry of Defense also announced the purchase of maneuvering missiles in Norway. Europe's reinforcement is already full.
I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.
