Even looking at Iran and Israel, XI Jinping constantly thinks about Taiwan
Israel's war with Iran has an impact on global safety architecture, even away from the Persian Gulf. Entering the United States to the war, as suggested by President Trump, can change the balance of power in East Asia. Beijing is in the spotlight. The People's Republic is an ally of Iran.
Therefore, Foreign Minister Wang Yi talked by phone with his Iranian counterpart last weekend and condemned Israel's attack. In a statement, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated: “Israel's actions are a serious violation of the goals and principles of the United Nations Card and basic norms of international relations. “
Beijing is not consistent in its interpretation of the United Nations Card. He did not condemn Russia's attack on Ukraine, which was also a violation of international law. The management of the country, under the leadership of XI Jinping, uses double standards and does exactly what they accuse their western allies for. Russia, China, Iran and North Korea are close allies whose armies work together. All three help maintain the Russian war machine and the country's economy on the surface. No wonder Wang Yi supports Tehran.
However, the further escalation of the war with Iran, such as the blockade of the Strait of Ormuz, would have serious consequences for Beijing, unlike Russia's war with Ukraine. The People's Republic buys about 1.8 million barrels of oil every daywhich corresponds to a significant part of the total import of crude oil by China.
In recent days, interfering signals have already made maneuvering to tankers, as a result of which two ships collided off the coast of Oman. Some observers suspect that the US deliberately weaken their GPS to support the Israeli air force. From June 13, oil prices supplied to China have already increased by 40 percent. In Beijing, this situation can be interpreted as a deliberate attempt to harm the US People's Republic of China.
The fate of Taiwan depends on the development of the situation in the Middle East
The People's Republic is not only positioned against Israel when it comes to Iran, but also in the war in the Gaza Strip, which cost the life of about 56 thousand. civilians. Beijing has always supported Palestinians. On the other hand, communist China established diplomatic relations with Israel only in 1992, whether Israel would be able to win the war on both fronts will largely depend on the further US support. US President Trump boasts that nobody else knows whether he would give the order to deploy the army against Iran. Beijing will do everything in his power to find out about the decision first.
Finally, the United States entering the war would not only be a breakthrough for Iran, but also for the People's Republic. Donald Trump's mantra during the election campaign was to keep your country away from the wars of other nationsTo be able to focus resources on the upcoming conflict with China and not distract yourself in other theaters.
Trump has already sent a second aircraft carrier to the Persian Gulf, which is the exact opposite of his announcements. The Magician Movement in the US is therefore divided, and some supporters even publicly criticize Trump, which the president probably considers an insult to his majesty.
Undersecretary of US defense, Elbridge Colby, warned that The People's Republic can use America's accession to war to achieve its strategic goals in Asia. In a telephone conversation with Donald Trump on June 5, November Jinping already warned the US president to act “wisely” in the Taiwan case. Beijing considers a democratic island state as its territory and threatens invasion of the island. Alternatively, the complete lock of the island by the Chinese Navy could throw Taiwan on her knees.
Donald Trump, President of the United States, and XI Jinping, China leader, at the MAR-A-LAGO residence. West Palm Beach, April 7, 2017
Beijing is also In conflict with all neighbors in the South China Seaprimarily with the Philippines. Xi Jinping ordered artificial islands to build and militarize. There were often clashes between the two coastal guards, fortunately without exchanging fire so far.
The United States is an ally of the Philippines and committed to defending the country in the event of an attack. There is a kind of declaration of mutual help with Taiwan, but There is no military commitment, as in the case of Manila. However, American defense secretary Pete HegeSth promised during his visit to the region at the beginning of April that the United States was prepared to defend the island. He also claimed that the attack of the Chinese folk and core army on Taiwan is inevitable.
Hegeth has gone from strategic ambiguity in the matter of Taiwan, which characterized the existing US foreign policy. If Beijing believes HegeSeth in his word that the United States will actually take military intervention, then The right moment to attack on Taiwan will be the moment when Washington will proceed to the war in the Persian bay. America would have to fight at the third theater, next to the front in Ukraine and Iran. In Beijing, an advantage can gain a view that such a scenario would overload the American armed forces and therefore this moment needs to be used.
Holy Remembrance Pope Francis said that The world is already in the “Third World War in installments”. Looking at how much the conflicts of our time are related to each other because they affect the interests of world powers in various regions of the globe, you have to agree with it posthumously.
